NEC Nijmegen vs 15.10.26 19:001 – 1Full Time
Levski Sofia — UEFA Europa League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
NEC Nijmegen held to 1-1 draw by Levski Sofia despite dominating shots
NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia drew 1-1 at Stadion de Goffert in the second round of the UEFA Europa League league stage. The hosts created far more than their visitors but were forced to settle for a point, extending their winless run to seven games.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Levski took the lead in the 35th minute. Svetoslav Vutsov supplied the pass and Reinaldo finished to make it 1-0, which was how the first half ended despite NEC's territorial pressure. The Bulgarian side had managed only a handful of attempts by that stage but made the most of their opening.
NEC levelled in the 64th minute through Tjaronn Chery, restoring parity at 1-1. The home side pushed on in search of a winner, taking 18 shots to Levski's 8, with nine of them on target, but neither side found a second goal and the points were shared.
NEC next host Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie on Sunday, while Levski travel to Plzen in the Europa League on Thursday 22 October.
Svetoslav Vutsov was the highest-rated player on the pitch with 8.43, creating Reinaldo's opener with his assist. Chery's equaliser earned him a rating of 7.94 for NEC.
NEC had nine shots on target to Levski's two, yet could only turn that pressure into a single goal.
NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia drew 1–1 (half-time 0–1).
NEC Nijmegen met Levski Sofia in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 2). Kick-off was Thursday, 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Stadion de Goffert. Referee: Äliyar Ağayev.
Team pages: NEC Nijmegen · Levski Sofia · UEFA Europa League
Key moments
- 35' Goal: Reinaldo (assist: Svetoslav Vutsov) — 0–1 · Watch Reinaldo's goal video (35')
- 64' Goal: Tjaronn Chery — 1–1
Starting line-ups
NEC Nijmegen (3-4-3)
Levski Sofia (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave NEC Nijmegen 53%, the draw 24%, Levski Sofia 23%. It finished NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Levski Sofia.
Strength rating gives NEC Nijmegen a slight lean — We give NEC Nijmegen 53% mainly because our strength rating has them a shade stronger, 1550 to 1487, and home sides in the UEFA Europa League tend to out-perform the global norm. The draw starts near 27%, the usual rate for a gap this size, but the competition's lower draw rate and both sides' 3.0-goal recent games bring it to 24%.
Why NEC Nijmegen at 53%?
NEC Nijmegen sit 63 points higher on our strength rating — 1550 to 1487. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.3% of 10,393 such games. UEFA Europa League home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (23.2% vs 25.4% norm). UEFA Europa League homes won 47.0% of 4,456 games vs 44.6% across all 101,206 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 53%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 53% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and Levski Sofia at 23%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,180. UEFA Europa League produces fewer draws than most, taking 2.2 points off.
What did we measure but not count?
NEC Nijmegen have shed 63 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,601 such games vs 33.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Levski Sofia. Explore more on the NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia team pages or the UEFA Europa League page.