SC Freiburg vs 15.10.26 19:003 – 2Full Time
FK Jablonec — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
SC Freiburg hold off late FK Jablonec rally to win 3-2
SC Freiburg won 3-2 against FK Jablonec at Europa-Park Stadion on matchday 1 of the UEFA Europa Conference League league stage. The hosts led through most of the evening but were made to sweat after Garang Kuol struck deep into stoppage time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Vincenzo Grifo opened the scoring in the 15th minute, but Jablonec levelled in the 28th when Antonín Růsek finished from Jiří Sláma's assist, and the sides went in at 1-1. Freiburg took control early in the second half. Dušan Pavlović turned the ball into his own net in the 53rd minute to make it 2-1, and Matthias Ginter added a third three minutes later.
Jablonec were then largely restricted to isolated moments, but Kuol's goal in the 90+3 minute set up a nervous finish at 3-2. Freiburg held firm and are now unbeaten in 9 games. Next up for them is an away Bundesliga game at Bayer Leverkusen on Sunday, while Jablonec host Brighton in the same competition on Thursday 22 October.
Grifo scored the opening goal and earned the top rating of the match, 8.6. Maximilian Eggestein followed closely on 8.5.
Freiburg had 23 shots to Jablonec's 6, with nine on target to one.
SC Freiburg beat FK Jablonec 3–2 (half-time 1–1).
SC Freiburg met FK Jablonec in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 1). Kick-off was Thursday, 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Europa-Park Stadion. Referee: Edgars Malcevs.
Team pages: SC Freiburg · FK Jablonec · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 15' Goal: Vincenzo Grifo — 1–0 · Watch Vincenzo Grifo's goal video (15')
- 28' Goal: Antonín Růsek (assist: Jiří Sláma) — 1–1 · Watch Antonín Růsek's goal video (28')
- 53' Goal (own goal): Dušan Pavlović — 2–1 · Watch Dušan Pavlović's goal video (53')
- 56' Goal: Matthias Ginter — 3–1
- 90+3' Goal: Garang Kuol — 3–2
Starting line-ups
SC Freiburg (4-2-3-1)
FK Jablonec (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave SC Freiburg 70%, the draw 18%, FK Jablonec 12%. It finished SC Freiburg 3–2 FK Jablonec.
A big strength gap puts SC Freiburg clear — We give SC Freiburg 70% mainly because they sit 215 points higher on our strength rating, 1763 to 1549, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw sits at 18%, starting from the usual 20% for a gap this size and nudged down because both teams' own recent games average 3.3 goals.
Why SC Freiburg at 70%?
SC Freiburg sit 215 points higher on our strength rating — 1763 to 1549. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.8% of 6,577 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 69–20–11.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 70% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 18% and FK Jablonec at 12%.
Why is the draw only 18%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 20.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,922. The goals environment takes 1.7 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
SC Freiburg have averaged 9 percentage points more possession than FK Jablonec in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Vincenzo Grifo's goal against FK Jablonec (15').
- Watch Antonín Růsek's goal against SC Freiburg (28').
- Watch Dušan Pavlović's own goal video (53').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from SC Freiburg 3–2 FK Jablonec. Explore more on the SC Freiburg and FK Jablonec team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.