RAAL La Louvière vs Liège — Belgian Cup: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 31′RAAL La Louvière, goal:1–0
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Liège, substitution:off
- 46′Liège, substitution:off
- 57′Liège, yellow card:
- 60′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 60′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 60′Liège, substitution:off
- 60′Liège, substitution:off
- 62′RAAL La Louvière, goal:2–0
- 69′RAAL La Louvière, yellow card:
- 70′RAAL La Louvière, yellow card:
- 72′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 72′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 73′RAAL La Louvière, goal:3–0
- 81′RAAL La Louvière, yellow card:
- 84′RAAL La Louvière, goal:4–0
- 84′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- Full-time4 – 0
Key Stats
Match report
RAAL La Louvière beat Liège 4-0 in Belgian Cup
RAAL La Louvière eased into the next stage of the Belgian Cup with a 4-0 win over Liège in the Round of 32. Zsombor Gruber put the hosts ahead in the 31st minute, and that single goal was all that separated the sides at half-time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The match was effectively settled after the break. Wagane Faye doubled the lead in the 62nd minute, and Léandro Rousseau made it 3-0 in the 73rd, so the hosts scored twice in the space of 11 minutes. Liège, managed by Gaetan Englebert, found no reply.
Elias Filet completed the scoring in the 84th minute to make it four goals from four different scorers. The result came after RAAL La Louvière had lost their previous league-style meeting with Club Brugge KV 4-1 at home, while Liège arrived on the back of a 4-1 win over Wellen.
RAAL La Louvière beat Liège 4–0 (half-time 1–0).
RAAL La Louvière met Liège in the Belgian Cup (Round of 32). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Team pages: RAAL La Louvière · Liège · Belgian Cup
Key moments
- 31' Goal: Zsombor Gruber — 1–0
- 62' Goal: Wagane Faye — 2–0
- 73' Goal: Léandro Rousseau — 3–0
- 84' Goal: Elias Filet — 4–0
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave RAAL La Louvière 52%, the draw 24%, Liège 24%. It finished RAAL La Louvière 4–0 Liège.
Strength rating gives La Louvière the edge — RAAL La Louvière sit 53 points higher on our strength rating, 1390 to 1337, and with the usual home advantage on top we give them 52% against Liège's 24%. The draw starts from 27%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and drops to 24% because both sides' own recent games average 3.2 goals.
Why RAAL La Louvière at 52%?
RAAL La Louvière sit 53 points higher on our strength rating — 1390 to 1337. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.3% of 10,400 such games.
Why only 52%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 52% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and Liège at 24%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,940. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
RAAL La Louvière on 7 days' rest, Liège on 20. Once class is accounted for, rest gaps stopped mattering — across 42,126 measured games no rest advantage repeated. Liège arrive with 10 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; RAAL La Louvière bring a 53-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the RAAL La Louvière vs Liège final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Belgian Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the RAAL La Louvière and Liège team pages or the Belgian Cup page.