Excelsior Virton vs Genk — Belgian Cup: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 17′Genk, goal:0–1
- 28′Genk, goal:0–2
- 31′Excelsior Virton, yellow card:
- Half-time0 – 2
- 70′Excelsior Virton, yellow card:
- 77′Genk, yellow card:
- 90′Genk, yellow card:
- Full-time0 – 2
Key Stats
Match report
Genk see off Excelsior Virton to reach Belgian Cup last 16
Genk beat Excelsior Virton 2-0 in the Round of 32 of the Belgian Cup, taking control with two goals in the first half and keeping their hosts at bay after the interval. The result sends Jess Thorup's side into the next round.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Daan Heymans opened the scoring in the 17th minute to make it 1-0 to the visitors. Rafiu Durosinmi added a second in the 28th minute, and with that the tie had effectively been settled before the half-hour mark. Neither side added to the scoreline after the break, and the score at the interval was also the final score.
Excelsior Virton, managed by Drazen Brncic, had come into the contest after a 3-0 win away at Oostkamp. Genk arrived having beaten Kortrijk 3-0 at home in their last game. Their next outing is a Jupiler Pro League fixture at home to Standard Liege on Sunday 25 October.
Genk won 2–0 away against Excelsior Virton (half-time 0–2).
Excelsior Virton met Genk in the Belgian Cup (Round of 32). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Team pages: Excelsior Virton · Genk · Belgian Cup
Key moments
- 17' Goal: Daan Heymans — 0–1
- 28' Goal: Rafiu Durosinmi — 0–2
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Excelsior Virton 12%, the draw 17%, Genk 71%. It finished Excelsior Virton 0–2 Genk.
Genk's clear strength edge drives a one-sided forecast — We give Genk 71% mainly because they sit 282 points higher on our strength rating, 1603 to 1321, and the cup tie across divisions adds to that edge against an Excelsior Virton side from a league outside the divisions we rate. The draw starts near 21% for a gap this size, then drops to 17% because of the cup-tie setting and both teams' high-scoring recent games.
Why Genk at 71%?
Genk sit 282 points higher on our strength rating — 1603 to 1321. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.7% of 5,873 such games. A cup tie across divisions: Genk carry a 282-point rating edge over Excelsior Virton, whose league sits outside the divisions we rate. Excelsior Virton have fewer than 25 rated matches, and their strength estimate began at our default starting value. The 300 most similar past games finished 19–22–59.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 71% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 17% and Excelsior Virton at 12%.
Why is the draw only 17%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 21.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,940. Cup ties across divisions take 2.2 points off the draw. The goals environment takes 1.8 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Excelsior Virton arrive with 8 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; Genk bring a 524-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Excelsior Virton vs Genk final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Belgian Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Excelsior Virton and Genk team pages or the Belgian Cup page.