Union St. Gilloise vs Nijlen — Belgian Cup: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 1′Nijlen, yellow card:V. Van Steenwinkel
- 34′Union St. Gilloise, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 46′Nijlen, substitution:R. BryonoffR. Bollen
- 46′Nijlen, substitution:J. De WachteroffM. Barbieux
- 65′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 65′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 65′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 69′Union St. Gilloise, goal:1–0
- 70′Nijlen, substitution:R. EngelenoffM. Dejonghe
- 70′Nijlen, substitution:P. Van Den BogaertoffC. Volkaerts
- 70′Nijlen, substitution:L. LeemansoffR. Coeckelbergs
- 77′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 77′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 80′Union St. Gilloise, goal:2–0
- 83′Union St. Gilloise, goal:3–0
- Full-time3 – 0
Key Stats
Match report
Union St. Gilloise beat Nijlen 3-0 in Belgian Cup round of 32
Union St. Gilloise reached the next stage of the Belgian Cup with a 3-0 win over Nijlen in the round of 32. The two sides went into the interval goalless, and the home side had to wait until the 69th minute before the contest was opened up.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Raul Florucz broke the deadlock in the 69th minute to make it 1-0. Eleven minutes later Besfort Zeneli doubled the lead in the 80th minute, and the tie was effectively settled three minutes after that when Kamiel Van de Perre struck in the 83rd minute to make it 3-0.
David Hubert's side were beaten by no one on the day and are now unbeaten in 10 games. Their previous outing had been a 1-1 draw at home to Real Sociedad, while Nijlen arrived on the back of a 3-1 home win over Rupel Boom.
Union St. Gilloise beat Nijlen 3–0 (half-time 0–0).
Union St. Gilloise met Nijlen in the Belgian Cup (Round of 32). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 11:30 UTC.
Team pages: Union St. Gilloise · Nijlen · Belgian Cup
Key moments
- 69' Goal: Raul Florucz — 1–0
- 80' Goal: Besfort Zeneli — 2–0
- 83' Goal: Kamiel Van de Perre — 3–0
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Union St. Gilloise 91%, the draw 6%, Nijlen 3%. It finished Union St. Gilloise 3–0 Nijlen.
A big strength gap makes Union St. Gilloise clear favourites — We give Union St. Gilloise 91% mainly because our strength rating puts them 467 points higher, 1804 to 1337, and the cup tie across divisions adds to that edge against a Nijlen side whose league sits outside the divisions we rate. The draw starts at 8% for a gap this size, then the cup-tie setting and both sides' high-scoring recent games pull it down to 6%.
Why Union St. Gilloise at 91%?
Union St. Gilloise sit 467 points higher on our strength rating — 1804 to 1337. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.2% of 5,572 such games. A cup tie across divisions: Union St. Gilloise carry a 467-point rating edge over Nijlen, whose league sits outside the divisions we rate. Nijlen have fewer than 25 rated matches, and their strength estimate began at our default starting value. The 300 most similar past games finished 92–7–1.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 91% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 6% and Nijlen at 3%.
Why is the draw only 6%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 8.3%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,995. Cup ties across divisions take 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Union St. Gilloise are unbeaten in their last 31 home Jupiler Pro League games: 26 wins and 5 draws. The run began on 1 March 2025. Last recorded home league defeat: 16 February 2025 — Union St. Gilloise 0–1 KV Mechelen. Latest home league result: 11 October 2026 — Union St. Gilloise 1–1 OH Leuven. Across 13,735 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 56.0%, compared with 54.8% expected from team strength. Nijlen arrive with 8 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; Union St. Gilloise bring a 274-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Union St. Gilloise vs Nijlen final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Belgian Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Union St. Gilloise and Nijlen team pages or the Belgian Cup page.