KV Mechelen vs AS Eupen — Belgian Cup: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 5′AS Eupen, goal:0–1
- 18′AS Eupen, yellow card:
- 22′KV Mechelen, yellow card:
- 26′KV Mechelen, goal:1–1
- 26′AS Eupen, yellow card:
- 31′AS Eupen, yellow card:
- 36′KV Mechelen, goal:2–1
- Half-time2 – 1
- 47′KV Mechelen, goal:3–1
- 47′AS Eupen, yellow card:
- 49′KV Mechelen, goal:4–1
- 59′AS Eupen, substitution:off
- 59′AS Eupen, substitution:off
- 59′AS Eupen, substitution:off
- 60′KV Mechelen, yellow card:
- 60′KV Mechelen, substitution:off
- 65′KV Mechelen, goal:5–1
- 69′AS Eupen, substitution:off
- 74′KV Mechelen, substitution:off
- 74′KV Mechelen, substitution:off
- 74′KV Mechelen, substitution:off
- 80′AS Eupen, substitution:off
- 88′KV Mechelen, substitution:off
- Full-time5 – 1
Key Stats
Match report
KV Mechelen hit five after Plastun's early opener for AS Eupen
KV Mechelen beat AS Eupen 5-1 in the Round of 32 of the Belgian Cup, scoring five times after falling behind to a fifth-minute goal. The home side led 2-1 at the break and ran away with the tie in the opening minutes of the second half.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Ihor Plastun put Eupen ahead after five minutes, but the lead lasted only until the 26th minute, when Thérence Koudou levelled for Mechelen. Marco Decherf then made it 2-1 in the 36th minute, and Mechelen went into the interval in front.
The match was effectively settled soon after the restart. M. Lohunanu-Mbasi scored in the 47th minute and Fredrik Hammar added a fourth in the 49th, two goals in three minutes that left Eupen with a mountain to climb. Myron van Brederode completed the scoring in the 65th minute, making it 5-1.
The result ended a run of four games without a win for Mechelen in all competitions covered by their recent form, which had brought two draws and two defeats before a 4-3 home win over St. Truiden. Their next game is at home to Genk in the Jupiler Pro League on Saturday 31 October.
KV Mechelen beat AS Eupen 5–1 (half-time 2–1).
KV Mechelen met AS Eupen in the Belgian Cup (Round of 32). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 11:30 UTC.
Team pages: KV Mechelen · AS Eupen · Belgian Cup
Key moments
- 5' Goal: Ihor Plastun — 0–1
- 26' Goal: Thérence Koudou — 1–1
- 36' Goal: Marco Decherf — 2–1
- 47' Goal: M. Lohunanu-Mbasi — 3–1
- 49' Goal: Fredrik Hammar — 4–1
- 65' Goal: Myron van Brederode — 5–1
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave KV Mechelen 57%, the draw 24%, AS Eupen 19%. It finished KV Mechelen 5–1 AS Eupen.
KV Mechelen's strength edge gives them a clear lead — We give KV Mechelen 57% mainly because they sit 156 points higher on our strength rating, 1449 to 1293, with the usual home advantage adding to it. The draw sits at 24%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged down slightly because both sides' own recent games average 3.0 goals.
Why KV Mechelen at 57%?
KV Mechelen sit 156 points higher on our strength rating — 1449 to 1293. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.7% of 13,368 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 60–23–17.
Why only 57%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 57% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and AS Eupen at 19%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,238.
What did we measure but not count?
A cup tie across divisions: KV Mechelen carry a 156-point rating edge over AS Eupen, whose league sits outside the divisions we rate. We already have 265 rated matches for AS Eupen.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the KV Mechelen vs AS Eupen final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Belgian Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the KV Mechelen and AS Eupen team pages or the Belgian Cup page.