Beerschot VA vs Anderlecht — Belgian Cup: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 20′Anderlecht, yellow card:
- 21′Beerschot VA, goal:1–0
- 40′Beerschot VA, yellow card:
- Half-time1 – 0
- 59′Beerschot VA, yellow card:
- 71′Anderlecht, yellow card:
- 72′Beerschot VA, goal:2–0
- 75′Anderlecht, yellow card:
- 86′Anderlecht, goal:2–1
- 90+2′Anderlecht, yellow card:
- 90+3′Beerschot VA, yellow card:
- Full-time2 – 1
Key Stats
Match report
Anas double sends Beerschot VA past Anderlecht in Belgian Cup
Beerschot VA beat Anderlecht 2-1 in the Belgian Cup round of 32, with Mohamed Anas scoring both of the home side's goals. Anderlecht, managed by Vítor Bruno, pulled one back late on but could not find an equaliser against Mohammed Messoudi's team.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Anas opened the scoring in the 21st minute to make it 1-0, and that was the score at half-time. Beerschot VA held that lead into the second half and doubled it in the 72nd minute, when Anas struck again to make it 2-0.
Anderlecht stayed in the tie when Adriano Bertaccini scored in the 86th minute to reduce the deficit to 2-1, but Beerschot VA saw out the closing stages to progress. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Beerschot VA a 21% chance of winning. Beerschot VA had won two of their previous five games, while Anderlecht arrived having lost their last game away to Dinamo Zagreb.
Mohamed Anas scored both of Beerschot VA's goals, in the 21st and 72nd minutes, and was the decisive figure in the win.
Beerschot VA beat Anderlecht 2–1 (half-time 1–0).
Beerschot VA met Anderlecht in the Belgian Cup (Round of 32). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Team pages: Beerschot VA · Anderlecht · Belgian Cup
Key moments
- 21' Goal: Mohamed Anas — 1–0
- 72' Goal: Mohamed Anas — 2–0
- 86' Goal: Adriano Bertaccini — 2–1
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Beerschot VA 21%, the draw 21%, Anderlecht 58%. It finished Beerschot VA 2–1 Anderlecht.
Anderlecht's clear strength edge drives the forecast — We give Anderlecht 58% mainly because they sit 246 points higher on our strength rating, 1617 to 1371, which outweighs the usual home advantage Beerschot VA start with. The draw sits at 21%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged slightly lower by the 2.9 goals a game in both sides' recent matches.
Why Anderlecht at 58%?
Anderlecht sit 246 points higher on our strength rating — 1617 to 1371. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.7% of 5,882 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 23–22–55.
Why only 58%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 58% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 21% and Beerschot VA at 21%.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 21.4%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,238.
What did we measure but not count?
Anderlecht have averaged 5 percentage points more possession than Beerschot VA in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. A cup tie across divisions: Anderlecht carry a 246-point rating edge over Beerschot VA, whose league sits outside the divisions we rate. We already have 119 rated matches for Beerschot VA. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Beerschot VA vs Anderlecht final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Belgian Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Beerschot VA and Anderlecht team pages or the Belgian Cup page.