Zulte Waregem vs Seraing United — Belgian Cup: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 15′Zulte Waregem, goal:1–0
- 16′Zulte Waregem, yellow card:
- 27′Seraing United, yellow card:
- Half-time1 – 0
- 60′Seraing United, substitution:off
- 60′Seraing United, substitution:off
- 73′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- 73′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- 77′Zulte Waregem, goal:2–0
- 82′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- 82′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- 83′Seraing United, substitution:off
- 84′Seraing United, yellow card:
- 86′Seraing United, yellow card:
- 87′Zulte Waregem, penalty goal:3–0Penalty
- 88′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- 90+3′Seraing United, yellow card:
- Full-time3 – 0
Key Stats
Match report
Zulte Waregem beat Seraing United 3-0 to reach Belgian Cup last 16
Zulte Waregem beat Seraing United 3-0 in the Round of 32 of the Belgian Cup, scoring once before the interval and twice more in the closing stages. The win ended a run of three defeats in a row for the home side.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Marley Aké opened the scoring in the 15th minute, putting Zulte Waregem 1-0 ahead, and that was the only goal of a first half in which Seraing United, managed by Arnauld Mercier, found no reply. The visitors were still within a goal at the break and remained so for more than an hour of the second period.
The tie was settled late. Youssoupha Mbodji made it 2-0 in the 77th minute, and Anosike Ementa converted a penalty in the 87th to complete the scoring at 3-0. Michael Beale's side had lost their previous game at home to Gent 2-0, while Seraing arrived having won their last two away games, at Lommel United and Knokke.
Zulte Waregem beat Seraing United 3–0 (half-time 1–0).
Zulte Waregem met Seraing United in the Belgian Cup (Round of 32). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Team pages: Zulte Waregem · Seraing United · Belgian Cup
Key moments
- 15' Goal: Marley Aké — 1–0
- 77' Goal: Youssoupha Mbodji — 2–0
- 87' Goal (penalty): Anosike Ementa — 3–0
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Zulte Waregem 67%, the draw 20%, Seraing United 13%. It finished Zulte Waregem 3–0 Seraing United.
Zulte Waregem's strength edge drives a clear lead — We give Zulte Waregem 67% mainly because they sit 186 points higher on our strength rating, 1505 to 1319, with the usual home advantage adding to that edge. The draw sits at 20%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged down slightly because both sides' own recent games average 3.0 goals.
Why Zulte Waregem at 67%?
Zulte Waregem sit 186 points higher on our strength rating — 1505 to 1319. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.8% of 6,583 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 63–21–16.
Why only 67%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 67% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 20% and Seraing United at 13%.
Why is the draw only 20%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,198.
What did we measure but not count?
A cup tie across divisions: Zulte Waregem carry a 186-point rating edge over Seraing United, whose league sits outside the divisions we rate. We already have 80 rated matches for Seraing United. Zulte Waregem won 2 of the last 4 meetings with Seraing United. The record is 2 wins for Zulte Waregem, 1 draw and 1 win for Seraing United. These were 4 Jupiler Pro League games played at both grounds between 3 October 2021 and 18 February 2023. Latest meeting: 18 February 2023 — Seraing United 1–1 Zulte Waregem. In 5,185 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 43.9%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Zulte Waregem vs Seraing United final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Belgian Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Zulte Waregem and Seraing United team pages or the Belgian Cup page.