Highlightsge tvYouTubeMatch Events
- 25′Botafogo, yellow card:Foul
- 26′Santos, yellow card:Foul
- 41′Botafogo, goal:1–0L. E. Jales do Nascimentoassist
- 42′Botafogo, goal disallowed:Lucas EmanuelGoal cancelled
- 45+2′Santos, yellow card:Argument
- 45+2′Botafogo, yellow card:Argument
- Half-time1 – 0
- 54′Santos, substitution:off
- 57′Santos, goal:1–1
- 64′Santos, substitution:off
- 64′Botafogo, substitution:off
- 64′Santos, substitution:off
- 71′Santos, substitution:off
- 71′Santos, substitution:off
- 77′Botafogo, substitution:off
- 78′Botafogo, substitution:offL. E. Jales do Nascimento
- 78′Botafogo, yellow card:Foul
- 86′Botafogo, substitution:off
- 86′Botafogo, substitution:off
- 90′Botafogo, goal:2–1
- 90+7′Botafogo, yellow card:Unsportsmanlike conduct
- Full-time2 – 1
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
Botafogo
4-4-2
Santos
4-2-3-1
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
1 goalAssist
Videos
Player Ratings
Botafogo
Santos
Match report
Barria's stoppage-time strike sinks Santos as Botafogo win late
Botafogo edged Santos 2-1 at the Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos in a Brasileirão Série A round 19 fixture, snatching victory with a goal deep into stoppage time after Santos had fought back to level in the second half. The result lifted Botafogo, who sit ninth in the table, while Santos remain sixteenth after the defeat.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
L. E. Jales do Nascimento put the home side ahead in the 41st minute, finishing off an assist from Kauan Toledo to send Botafogo into the break a goal to the good. Santos responded after the interval, with Álvaro Barreal drawing the visitors level in the 57th minute to make it 1-1 and set up a tense finish.
The contest remained locked until the very end, when K. Barria struck in the 90th minute plus five to restore Botafogo's lead and secure all three points. Santos, despite pushing forward for an equaliser, could not find a response before the final whistle. Botafogo edged the shot count with 22 attempts to Santos's 17, though the visitors saw slightly more of the ball at 52% possession.
Goalkeeper Léo Linck was Botafogo's top-rated performer with a 7.7 rating, his display helping the hosts hold firm until Barria's late winner sealed the points.
Botafogo outshot Santos 22 to 17 across the match, reflecting their greater attacking threat on the night.
Botafogo beat Santos 2–1 (half-time 1–0).
Botafogo met Santos in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 19). Kick-off was Thursday, 16 July 2026, 22:30 UTC at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos. Referee: Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima.
Team pages: Botafogo · Santos · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 41' Goal: L. E. Jales do Nascimento (assist: Kauan Toledo) — 1–0
- 57' Goal: Álvaro Barreal — 1–1
- 90' Goal: K. Barria — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Botafogo (4-4-2)
- 24 Léo Linck
- 13 Alex Telles (c)
- 5 Nahuel Ferraresi
- 34 G. Justino
- 2 Vitinho
- 11 Matheus Martins
- 6 Cristian Medina
- 75 Huguinho
- 77 Lucas Villalba
- 59 Kauan Toledo
- 79 Lucas Emanuel
- 79 L. E. Jales do Nascimento
Santos (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Botafogo 61%, the draw 26%, Santos 13%. It finished Botafogo 2–1 Santos.
Botafogo's rating edge carries it — Botafogo are the stronger side on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage on top gives Botafogo a clear lead. The draw at 26% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Botafogo at 61%?
Botafogo sit 123 points higher on our strength rating — 1738 to 1615. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.2% of 12,547 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.8% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.3% of 4,356 games vs 44.9% across all 98,173 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 60–26–14.
Why only 61%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 61% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Santos at 13%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.5% of 24,564. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Botafogo scored +0.68 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,697 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.2% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Botafogo vs Santos final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Botafogo 2–1 Santos. Explore more on the Botafogo and Santos team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.