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Toronto FC vs 15.08.26 23:302 – 1Full Time
New England Revolution — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Toronto FC beat New England Revolution 2–1 (half-time 2–0).
Toronto FC met New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 19). Kick-off was Saturday, 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC at BMO Field. Referee: Joseph Dickerson.
Team pages: Toronto FC · New England Revolution · Major League Soccer
Before kick-off Sirius gave Toronto FC 44%, the draw 28%, New England Revolution 28%. It finished Toronto FC 2–1 New England Revolution.
Home ground outweighs New England Revolution's rating edge — New England Revolution are the stronger side on our strength rating, but Major League Soccer home advantage gives Toronto FC the lean. The draw at 28% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Home ground, against the rating. New England Revolution sit 87 points higher on our strength rating — 1416 to 1503. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 32.9% of 10,505 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.5% of 5,071 games vs 44.9% across all 99,031 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Because New England Revolution are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 28% and New England Revolution at 28%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,785.
Toronto FC on 15 days' rest, New England Revolution on 7. Once class is accounted for, rest gaps stopped mattering — across 43,403 measured games no rest advantage repeated.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Toronto FC vs New England Revolution final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Toronto FC 2–1 New England Revolution. Explore more on the Toronto FC and New England Revolution team pages or the Major League Soccer page.
Toronto FC beat New England Revolution 2–1 (half-time 2–0).
William Sands (43') (own goal) for Toronto FC; Niklas Dorsch (45') for Toronto FC; Wilson Harris (90') for New England Revolution.
Goal highlights and video clips from Toronto FC 2–1 New England Revolution are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
Toronto FC and New England Revolution have met 10 times — 2 wins for Toronto FC, 4 wins for New England Revolution and 4 draws.