Columbus Crew vs Sun 27 Sept23:00 Scheduled
Inter Miami — Major League Soccer: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Match preview
Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami — the facts
Columbus Crew meet Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 27). Kick-off is Sunday, 27 September 2026, 23:00 UTC at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field.
Team pages: Columbus Crew · Inter Miami · Major League Soccer
Sirius · Why these numbers
Columbus Crew 38% · Draw 25% · Inter Miami 37%
Anyone's game — Inter Miami are the stronger side on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage is not enough to separate them. The draw at 25% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Columbus Crew at 38%?
Home ground, against the rating. Inter Miami sit 172 points higher on our strength rating — 1582 to 1754. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,218 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.2% of 5,189 games vs 44.9% across all 100,559 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 38%?
Because Inter Miami are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 25% and Inter Miami at 37%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.6 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,318. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Columbus Crew scored +0.40 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,895 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Inter Miami scored +0.79 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Major League Soccer fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Columbus Crew and Inter Miami team pages or the Major League Soccer page.
Quick answers
›What time does Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami kick off?
Kick-off is Sunday, 27 September 2026, 23:00 UTC at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, a Major League Soccer fixture (matchday 27).
›Where can I watch Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami goal clips and highlights?
Goal clips and match highlights will be published on this page — each goal video is added shortly after it goes in, with highlights after full-time.
›What is the head-to-head record between Columbus Crew and Inter Miami?
Columbus Crew and Inter Miami have met 10 times — 2 wins for Columbus Crew, 6 wins for Inter Miami and 2 draws.