Orlando City SC vs 17.10.26 23:304 – 1Full Time
DC United — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Griezmann scores twice as Orlando City SC beat DC United 4-1
Orlando City SC beat DC United 4-1 at Exploria Stadium on Matchday 30 of Major League Soccer, the five-goal match settled by a fast start and a second-half strike from Antoine Griezmann. The home side moved from 16th to 13th in the table, while DC United stayed 25th.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Griezmann opened the scoring in the 15th minute, set up by Martín Ojeda, and the pair swapped roles seven minutes later when Ojeda finished a Griezmann pass to make it 2-0. DC United pulled one back in first-half stoppage time, Tai Baribo scoring from the penalty spot in the 45+2 minute.
Orlando restored their two-goal cushion within five minutes of the restart, Griezmann adding his second in the 50th minute to make it 3-1. The visitors had more shots, 15 to 13, but Orlando put seven on target to DC United's four. Marco Pasalic sealed the win in the 90+5 minute, converting a Justin Ellis assist.
Orlando, who had won one of their previous five games, next host New York City FC in Major League Soccer on Saturday. DC United travel to FC Cincinnati in the same competition on Wednesday.
Griezmann scored twice and provided the assist for Ojeda's goal, earning the top rating of 9.67. Ojeda was also influential, with a goal and an assist of his own.
DC United won the corner count 8 to 1 but still finished three goals behind.
Orlando City SC beat DC United 4–1 (half-time 2–1).
Orlando City SC met DC United in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 30). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 23:30 UTC at Exploria Stadium. Referee: Pierre-Luc Lauziere. Attendance: 19,661.
Team pages: Orlando City SC · DC United · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 15' Goal: Antoine Griezmann (assist: Martín Ojeda) — 1–0 · Watch Antoine Griezmann's goal video (15')
- 22' Goal: Martín Ojeda (assist: Antoine Griezmann) — 2–0 · Watch Martín Ojeda's goal video (22')
- 45+2' Goal (penalty): Tai Baribo — 2–1
- 50' Goal: Antoine Griezmann — 3–1
- 90+5' Goal: Marco Pasalic (assist: Justin Ellis) — 4–1
Starting line-ups
Orlando City SC (4-2-3-1)
DC United (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Orlando City SC 61%, the draw 21%, DC United 18%. It finished Orlando City SC 4–1 DC United.
Orlando City's stronger rating gives them a clear lead — Orlando City SC sit 113 points higher on our strength rating, 1494 to 1381, and home sides in Major League Soccer tend to out-perform the global norm, so we give them 61%. The draw starts near 25% for a gap this size but falls to 21%, because both teams' recent games average 3.6 goals and DC United's finishing streak trims it further.
Why Orlando City SC at 61%?
Orlando City SC sit 113 points higher on our strength rating — 1494 to 1381. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.7% of 13,358 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.2% of 5,237 games vs 44.6% across all 101,264 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 53–25–22.
Why only 61%?
DC United sit -0.49 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,529 such games where the class table expected 35.9%.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.6 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,940. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw. The bounce-back factor takes 1.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Orlando City SC have averaged 21 percentage points more possession than DC United in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Orlando City SC scored +0.50 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,843 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.4% vs 42.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Orlando City SC vs DC United final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Antoine Griezmann's goal against DC United (15').
- Watch Martín Ojeda's goal against DC United (22').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Orlando City SC 4–1 DC United. Explore more on the Orlando City SC and DC United team pages or the Major League Soccer page.
