Manchester City vs 23.08.26 13:002 – 1Full Time
Bournemouth — Premier League: stats, lineups & analysis
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play_arrow3 clips- 26′Bournemouth, goal:0–1assist
- 45+1′Bournemouth, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 57′Manchester City, substitution:off
- 63′Manchester City, substitution:off
- 63′Manchester City, substitution:off
- 75′Bournemouth, substitution:off
- 75′Bournemouth, substitution:off
- 75′Bournemouth, substitution:off
- 78′Manchester City, yellow card:Foul
- 82′Manchester City, substitution:off
- 84′Manchester City, goal:1–1assist
- 85′Bournemouth, yellow card:Argument
- 89′Bournemouth, substitution:off
- 90′Manchester City, goal:2–1assist
- 90+2′Manchester City, VAR review:Goal confirmed
- Full-time2 – 1
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Manchester City
Bournemouth
Match report
Manchester City snatch late win over Bournemouth with two stoppage-area goals
Manchester City came from behind to beat Bournemouth 2-1 in their Premier League opener, a result that lifted Enzo Maresca's side to sixth in the early table while Marco Rose's Bournemouth sit ninth after their first outing. The match at the Etihad Stadium turned in the closing stages after Bournemouth had led for most of the afternoon.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Marcus Tavernier put the visitors ahead in the 26th minute, converting after being set up by Evanilson, and that scoreline held through half-time and deep into the second half despite City's dominance of possession. Rayan Cherki then turned provider twice in a dramatic finish: first teeing up Marc-Israel Guéhi to equalise in the 84th minute, before setting up Joško Gvardiol to snatch victory in the first minute of stoppage time.
City controlled territory throughout, holding 66 percent of possession and firing 13 shots to Bournemouth's five, with six efforts on target reflecting the pressure they eventually converted into goals. Bournemouth, who had arrived unbeaten in three, offered little going forward after their opening strike but held firm until the very end of the contest.
Guéhi scored City's equaliser and earned the highest rating on the pitch at 8.2, while Gvardiol struck the winning goal moments later to cap a decisive late intervention from the home side.
Manchester City's 2.36 expected goals compared with Bournemouth's 0.63 underlined how much more clinical territory the home side created over the course of the match.
Manchester City beat Bournemouth 2–1 (half-time 0–1).
Manchester City met Bournemouth in the Premier League (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Sunday, 23 August 2026, 13:00 UTC at Etihad Stadium. Referee: Jarred Gillett.
Team pages: Manchester City · Bournemouth · Premier League
Key moments
- 26' Goal: Marcus Tavernier (assist: Evanilson) — 0–1 · Watch Marcus Tavernier's goal video (26')
- 84' Goal: Marc Guéhi (assist: Rayan Cherki) — 1–1 · Watch Marc Guéhi's goal video (84')
- 90' Goal: Joško Gvardiol (assist: Rayan Cherki) — 2–1 · Watch Joško Gvardiol's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Manchester City (4-2-3-1)
Bournemouth (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Manchester City 61%, the draw 23%, Bournemouth 16%. It finished Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth.
Manchester City's rating gap decides it — Manchester City are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Manchester City's 61%. The draw at 23% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Manchester City at 61%?
Manchester City sit 242 points higher on our strength rating — 2185 to 1943. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,950 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 67–16–17.
Why only 61%?
Bournemouth sit -0.41 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.8% of 2,373 such games where the class table expected 36.3%. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Manchester City's column. Across 10,693 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,635. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Manchester City average 12 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 242 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Bournemouth have gained 64 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,211 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Manchester City vs Bournemouth final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Premier League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Marcus Tavernier's goal against Manchester City (26').
- Watch Marc Guéhi's goal against Bournemouth (84').
- Watch Joško Gvardiol's goal against Bournemouth (90').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth. Explore more on the Manchester City and Bournemouth team pages or the Premier League page.