Liverpool vs 11.10.26 15:300 – 3Full Time
Manchester City — Premier League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Liverpool vs Manchester City — the facts
Manchester City won 3–0 away against Liverpool (half-time 0–0).
Liverpool met Manchester City in the Premier League (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Sunday, 11 October 2026, 15:30 UTC at Anfield. Referee: Chris Kavanagh.
Team pages: Liverpool · Manchester City · Premier League
Key moments
- 65' Goal: Erling Haaland (assist: Jérémy Doku) — 0–1 · Watch Erling Haaland's goal video (65')
- 68' Goal: Jérémy Doku (assist: Elliot Anderson) — 0–2 · Watch Jérémy Doku's goal video (68')
- 78' Goal: Rayan Cherki (assist: Joško Gvardiol) — 0–3 · Watch Rayan Cherki's goal video (78')
Starting line-ups
Liverpool (4-2-3-1)
Manchester City (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Liverpool 31%, the draw 28%, Manchester City 41%. It finished Liverpool 0–3 Manchester City.
Manchester City's rating edge outweighs Liverpool's home ground — Manchester City are the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Manchester City the lean. The draw at 28% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Manchester City at 41%?
Manchester City sit 155 points higher on our strength rating — 1859 to 2015. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.9% of 13,822 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Liverpool's column. Across 11,278 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.7%, with draws up 1.4 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 29–24–47.
Why only 41%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 41% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 28% and Liverpool at 31%.
Why the draw at 28%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,145. Early-season fixtures add 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 8 home Premier League games: 3 wins and 5 draws. The run began on 28 February 2026. Last recorded home league defeat: 8 February 2026 — Liverpool 1–2 Manchester City. Latest home league result: 12 September 2026 — Liverpool 0–0 Fulham. Across 13,690 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 56.0%, compared with 54.8% expected from team strength. Out: Cody Gakpo, an important player, and Hugo Ekitike and Alexander Isak, rotation players. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Liverpool vs Manchester City final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Premier League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Erling Haaland's goal against Liverpool (65').
- Watch Jérémy Doku's goal against Liverpool (68').
- Watch Rayan Cherki's goal against Liverpool (78').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Liverpool 0–3 Manchester City. Explore more on the Liverpool and Manchester City team pages or the Premier League page.