Bournemouth vs 18.10.26 13:002 – 0Full Time
Sunderland — Premier League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Bournemouth vs Sunderland — the facts
Bournemouth beat Sunderland 2–0 (half-time 1–0).
Bournemouth met Sunderland in the Premier League (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 13:00 UTC at Vitality Stadium. Referee: Craig Pawson. Attendance: 12,004.
Team pages: Bournemouth · Sunderland · Premier League
Key moments
- 5' Goal: Marcus Tavernier (assist: Evanilson) — 1–0 · Watch Marcus Tavernier's goal video (5')
- 17' Red card: Kevin Danso
- 48' Goal: Evanilson — 2–0 · Watch Evanilson's goal video (48')
Starting line-ups
Bournemouth (4-2-3-1)
Sunderland (4-2-3-1)
- 22 Robin Roefs
- 17 Reinildo
- 15 Omar Alderete
- 4 Kevin Danso
- 20 Nordi Mukiele
- 27 Noah Sadiki
- 34 Granit Xhaka
- 28 Enzo Le Fée
- 11 Chris Rigg
- 32 Trai Hume
- 57 Timur Tuterov
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Bournemouth 55%, the draw 23%, Sunderland 22%. It finished Bournemouth 2–0 Sunderland.
Bournemouth's stronger rating gives them a clear lead — We give Bournemouth 55% mainly because our strength rating puts them 123 points higher, though Sunderland have scored below what their chances deserved, and cold streaks like that have tended to bounce back. The draw sits at 23%, a little under the usual 25% for a gap this size, trimmed by that finishing streak and a typical scoring backdrop.
Why Bournemouth at 55%?
Bournemouth sit 123 points higher on our strength rating — 1799 to 1676. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.7% of 13,368 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 57–24–19.
Why only 55%?
Sunderland sit -0.61 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,538 such games where the class table expected 35.9%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.9%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,238. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Alex Scott, a star player, and Eli Kroupi, a rotation player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Out: Daniel Ballard, an important player, and Thomas Meunier, on a provisional rating. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Bournemouth vs Sunderland final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Premier League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Marcus Tavernier's goal against Sunderland (5').
- Watch Evanilson's goal against Sunderland (48').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Bournemouth 2–0 Sunderland. Explore more on the Bournemouth and Sunderland team pages or the Premier League page.