Match report
Everton vs Chelsea — the facts
Chelsea won 2–0 away against Everton (half-time 0–0).
Everton met Chelsea in the Premier League (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 11:30 UTC at Hill Dickinson Stadium. Referee: Paul Tierney. Attendance: 52,271.
Team pages: Everton · Chelsea · Premier League
Key moments
- 46' Goal: Pedro Neto (assist: Jorrel Hato) — 0–1 · Watch Pedro Neto's goal video (46')
- 90' Goal: Pedro Neto — 0–2 · Watch Pedro Neto's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Everton (4-2-3-1)
Chelsea (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Everton 47%, the draw 22%, Chelsea 31%. It finished Everton 0–2 Chelsea.
Home advantage edges Everton in a level contest — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, 1755 to 1795, Everton's usual home advantage puts them in front at 47%, helped by Chelsea's recent scoring above their chances, a hot streak that tends to cool off. The draw starts at 27.1%, the usual rate for sides this level, but falls to 22% because of that finishing streak and both teams' own recent games averaging 3.4 goals.
Why Everton in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1755 to 1795. Sides this close won 42.6% of 14,828 home games (draw 27.1%, visitors 30.3%). Chelsea scored +0.74 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.2% of 1,469 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 47%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 22% and Chelsea at 31%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,940. The cool-off factor takes 2.5 points off the draw. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Chelsea come into this after a busy window — 12 arrivals, 17 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336).
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Everton vs Chelsea final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Premier League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Everton 0–2 Chelsea. Explore more on the Everton and Chelsea team pages or the Premier League page.