Ipswich vs 23.10.26 19:001 – 1Full Time
Nottingham Forest — Premier League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsSky Sports Premier LeagueYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow2 clips- 13′Nottingham Forest, goal:0–1assist
- 41′Ipswich, goal:1–1
- Half-time1 – 1
- 49′Ipswich, VAR review:Card upgrade
- 51′Ipswich, yellow card:
- 54′Nottingham Forest, yellow card:
- 60′Ipswich, substitution:off
- 61′Ipswich, substitution:off
- 69′Nottingham Forest, substitution:off
- 73′Ipswich, substitution:off
- 84′Nottingham Forest, substitution:off
- 85′Ipswich, substitution:off
- 86′Ipswich, substitution:off
- 90+4′Nottingham Forest, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
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Ipswich
Nottingham Forest
Match report
Ipswich hold Nottingham Forest to 1-1 draw at Portman Road
Ipswich and Nottingham Forest shared the points in a 1-1 draw at Portman Road Stadium in Premier League Matchweek 8. Forest took the lead through Neco Williams after 13 minutes, but Julio Enciso levelled for the hosts before the break, leaving the score unchanged for the entire second half.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Williams struck first, finishing from a Daniel Muñoz assist to put the visitors 1-0 up. Ipswich responded just before half-time, Enciso's goal in the 41st minute making it 1-1. Neither side found a way through after the interval, and no further goals followed.
The numbers show a match in which Forest created far more than they scored. They had 17 shots to Ipswich's 7 and five of those were on target, against three from the hosts. Possession was almost even, with Ipswich holding 49 per cent and Forest 51.
The result ended a run of three defeats in a row for Forest, who finished the night 16th on 6 points, while Ipswich were ninth on 10. Both sides play away on Saturday 31 October in the Premier League, Ipswich at Hull City and Forest at Brentford.
Enciso scored Ipswich's equaliser and earned the top rating of the match, 7.91. Muñoz, with the assist for Forest's goal, was rated 7.61 and Williams, who scored it, 7.47.
Forest had 17 shots to Ipswich's 7, yet could not turn that advantage into a winner.
Ipswich and Nottingham Forest drew 1–1 (half-time 1–1).
Ipswich met Nottingham Forest in the Premier League (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off was Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Portman Road Stadium. Referee: Thomas Bramall. Attendance: 29,198.
Team pages: Ipswich · Nottingham Forest · Premier League
Key moments
- 13' Goal: Neco Williams (assist: Daniel Muñoz) — 0–1 · Watch Neco Williams's goal video (13')
- 41' Goal: Julio Enciso — 1–1 · Watch Julio Enciso's goal video (41')
Starting line-ups
Ipswich (4-2-3-1)
Nottingham Forest (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Ipswich 31%, the draw 26%, Nottingham Forest 43%. It finished Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest.
Forest's stronger rating gives them a slight lean — We give Nottingham Forest 43% mainly because our strength rating has them 160 points higher, 1737 to 1577, and their recent finishing below their chances adds a little, since cold streaks like this have bounced back. The draw sits at 26%, just under the usual 28% for a gap this size, trimmed by that finishing streak and a typical scoring level.
Why Nottingham Forest at 43%?
Nottingham Forest sit 160 points higher on our strength rating — 1737 to 1577. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,785 such games. Nottingham Forest sit -0.82 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 2,927 such games where the class table expected 35.6%. The 300 most similar past games finished 26–24–50.
Why only 43%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 43% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Ipswich at 31%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,149. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Nottingham Forest have shed 69 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.0% of 10,357 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Ipswich are newly promoted — game 8 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Premier League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Neco Williams's goal against Ipswich (13').
- Watch Julio Enciso's goal against Nottingham Forest (41').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest. Explore more on the Ipswich and Nottingham Forest team pages or the Premier League page.