Lineups
Match preview
Hull City host Brentford at the MKM Stadium in search of a first win in seven
Hull City welcome Brentford to the MKM Stadium on Matchweek 8 of the Premier League, with Sergej Jakirović's side sitting 11th on nine points from seven games. They arrive on a run of six games without a win, having lost 1-0 at Fulham last time out.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Brentford, managed by Keith Andrews, are seventh on ten points, one more than their hosts but four places higher in the table. Their most recent outing was a 2-1 home defeat to Liverpool, which followed a 2-2 draw away to Aston Villa.
Hull's recent record has been short of goals: they have failed to score in two of their last five and have won none of them, losing three and drawing two. Brentford have won two of their last five and scored ten goals across them.
Across their last 5 meetings, Hull City won 1, Brentford won 2, with 2 draws. The most recent meeting was Hull City 1–5 Brentford on 1 February 2020. Hull City's latest win in this sample was Hull City 2–0 Brentford on 15 December 2018.
Hull City have lost three and drawn two of their last five without a win, while Brentford have won two, drawn two and lost one, scoring ten goals to Hull's five.
Both sides have faced Chelsea in the past few weeks: Hull drew 2-2 away, while Brentford beat them 3-0 at home.
Hull City meet Brentford in the Premier League (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at MKM Stadium. Referee: Robert Jones.
Team pages: Hull City · Brentford · Premier League
Starting line-ups
Hull City (5-4-1)
Brentford (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Hull City 15% · Draw 21% · Brentford 64%
Brentford's strength gap drives a clear lead — We give Brentford 64% because they sit 300 points higher on our strength rating, 1813 to 1513, which outweighs the usual home advantage Hull City start with. The draw sits at 21%, close to the usual 20% for a gap this size, nudged up slightly because both teams' own recent games average 2.6 goals.
Why Brentford at 64%?
Brentford sit 300 points higher on our strength rating — 1813 to 1513. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.7% of 6,282 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 16–20–64.
Why only 64%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 64% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 21% and Hull City at 15%.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 20.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,316.
What did we measure but not count?
Brentford have averaged 12 percentage points more possession than Hull City in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Hull City have gained 74 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.0% of 11,940 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Hull City vs Brentford, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Premier League fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Hull City and Brentford team pages or the Premier League page.