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play_arrow1 clip- 36′Fulham, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 60′Coventry, substitution:off
- 63′Fulham, substitution:off
- 67′Coventry, substitution:off
- 67′Coventry, substitution:off
- 67′Coventry, substitution:off
- 74′Fulham, substitution:off
- 74′Fulham, substitution:off
- 80′Fulham, goal:0–1assist
- 81′Fulham, substitution:off
- 81′Fulham, substitution:off
- 82′Fulham, yellow card:
- 86′Coventry, substitution:off
- Full-time0 – 1
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Coventry
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Match report
Fulham edge Coventry as Bobb strikes late at the Coventry Building Society Arena
Fulham won 1-0 at Coventry in Matchweek 8 of the Premier League, Oscar Bobb scoring the only goal ten minutes from time. The match was goalless at half-time and stayed that way until the 80th minute, when Josh King provided the pass and Bobb finished to settle a closely contested afternoon at the Coventry Building Society Arena.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Coventry actually had slightly more efforts on goal, finishing with 13 shots to Fulham's 12, but only two of them were on target, compared with four for the visitors. Fulham controlled the ball far more, holding 64 per cent of possession to Coventry's 36, and won six corners to four. The expected-goals figures were almost level, at 0.58 for Coventry and 0.61 for Fulham.
The result lifted Fulham from 19th to 12th, with eight points from eight games, while Coventry dropped from 18th to 19th on six points, having lost four of their last six league games. Fulham next host Crystal Palace in the League Cup on Wednesday 28 October, and Coventry entertain Sunderland in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October.
Bobb scored the winner in the 80th minute after being set up by King, and his rating of 8.0 was the highest of any player on the pitch.
Fulham saw far more of the ball, holding 64 per cent of possession to Coventry's 36, yet the margin between the sides on the scoreboard was a single late goal.
Fulham won 1–0 away against Coventry (half-time 0–0).
Coventry met Fulham in the Premier League (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Coventry Building Society Arena. Referee: Adam Herczeg. Attendance: 31,449.
Team pages: Coventry · Fulham · Premier League
Key moments
- 80' Goal: Oscar Bobb (assist: Josh King) — 0–1 · Watch Oscar Bobb's goal video (80')
Starting line-ups
Coventry (4-2-3-1)
Fulham (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Coventry 31%, the draw 26%, Fulham 43%. It finished Coventry 0–1 Fulham.
Fulham's stronger rating gives them the edge — Fulham sit 135 points higher on our strength rating, 1720 to 1586, and their recent scoring has fallen short of the chances they create, a cold streak that usually bounces back. The draw starts near 28%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and dips to 26% because of that finishing streak and both sides' fairly high-scoring recent games.
Why Fulham at 43%?
Fulham sit 135 points higher on our strength rating — 1720 to 1586. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,788 such games. Fulham sit -0.56 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 2,932 such games where the class table expected 35.6%. The 300 most similar past games finished 30–24–46.
Why only 43%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 43% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Coventry at 31%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,159. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Fulham have averaged 15 percentage points more possession than Coventry in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Coventry scored +0.46 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,154 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.1% vs 42.2% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Coventry vs Fulham final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Premier League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Coventry 0–1 Fulham. Explore more on the Coventry and Fulham team pages or the Premier League page.