HighlightsSerie AYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow6 clips- 7′Cagliari, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 10′Cagliari, penalty goal:0–1Penalty
- 15′AS Roma, goal:1–1assist
- 21′AS Roma, goal:2–1assist
- Half-time2 – 1
- 46′AS Roma, substitution:off
- 56′AS Roma, substitution:off
- 56′AS Roma, substitution:off
- 63′Cagliari, substitution:off
- 76′Cagliari, substitution:off
- 76′Cagliari, substitution:off
- 76′AS Roma, substitution:off
- 81′Cagliari, goal:2–2assist
- 82′AS Roma, substitution:off
- 85′AS Roma, goal:3–2assist
- 87′AS Roma, goal:4–2assist
- 90+1′Cagliari, substitution:off
- 90+1′Cagliari, substitution:off
- 90+4′Cagliari, yellow card:
- Full-time4 – 2
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AS Roma
Cagliari
Match report
AS Roma come from behind to beat Cagliari 4-2 at the Stadio Olimpico
AS Roma won 4-2 against Cagliari at the Stadio Olimpico in Serie A on Matchday 9, scoring three times in the final stages to settle a game that had been level at 2-2 with nine minutes left. The result lifted Roma to 21 points and third place, while Cagliari stayed ninth on 13.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Cagliari went ahead after 10 minutes when M'Bala Nzola scored from the penalty spot. Roma needed only five minutes to respond, E. Lulli finishing from Nahuel Molina's assist in the 15th minute. Niccolò Pisilli then put the hosts in front in the 21st minute, Lulli providing the pass, and Roma led 2-1 at the interval.
Cagliari pulled level in the 81st minute through Daniel Maldini, set up by Adam Obert, but the visitors could not hold on. Rodrigo Mora restored Roma's lead in the 85th minute from Daniele Ghilardi's delivery, and two minutes later Donyell Malen added a fourth after Mora's pass. Roma had 61 per cent of possession, though shots were close at 20 to 19.
The defeat was Cagliari's third in a row. Roma next travel to Udinese in Serie A on Saturday, while Cagliari are away to Lazio in Serie A on Sunday.
E. Lulli took the highest rating of any player, 8.53, scoring Roma's equaliser in the 15th minute and then setting up Pisilli's goal six minutes later.
Both sides put eight shots on target, a measure of how evenly the contest was balanced despite Roma's greater share of the ball.
AS Roma beat Cagliari 4–2 (half-time 2–1).
AS Roma met Cagliari in the Serie A (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 19:45 UTC at Stadio Olimpico. Referee: Ermanno Feliciani. Attendance: 61,780.
Key moments
- 10' Goal (penalty): M'Bala Nzola — 0–1 · Watch M'Bala Nzola's goal video (10')
- 15' Goal: E. Lulli (assist: Nahuel Molina) — 1–1 · Watch E. Lulli's goal video (15')
- 21' Goal: Niccolò Pisilli (assist: E. Lulli) — 2–1 · Watch Niccolò Pisilli's goal video (21')
- 81' Goal: Daniel Maldini (assist: Adam Obert) — 2–2 · Watch Daniel Maldini's goal video (81')
- 85' Goal: Rodrigo Mora (assist: Daniele Ghilardi) — 3–2 · Watch Rodrigo Mora's goal video (85')
- 87' Goal: Donyell Malen (assist: Rodrigo Mora) — 4–2 · Watch Donyell Malen's goal video (87')
Starting line-ups
AS Roma (3-5-2)
Cagliari (3-5-1-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave AS Roma 72%, the draw 19%, Cagliari 9%. It finished AS Roma 4–2 Cagliari.
Roma's strength gap drives a one-sided forecast — We give AS Roma 72% mainly because our strength rating has them 274 points higher, 1871 to 1597, though home sides in Serie A generally under-perform, which nudges a little back towards Cagliari. The draw sits at 19%, starting from the usual 18% for a gap this size and edging up slightly for the two teams' typical 2.6-goal recent games and Serie A's usual draw rate.
Why AS Roma at 72%?
AS Roma sit 274 points higher on our strength rating — 1871 to 1597. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.6% of 5,965 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 72–20–8.
Why not higher?
Serie A home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to the other outcomes. Serie A homes won 43.3% of 6,161 games vs 44.6% across all 108,018 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw only 19%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 18.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,329.
What did we measure but not count?
AS Roma have averaged 13 percentage points more possession than Cagliari in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. AS Roma are unbeaten in their last 16 home Serie A games: 12 wins and 4 draws. The run began on 15 December 2025. Last recorded home league defeat: 30 November 2025 — AS Roma 0–1 Napoli. Latest home league result: 17 October 2026 — AS Roma 2–0 Genoa. Across 16,125 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 55.4%, compared with 54.5% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the AS Roma vs Cagliari final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch M'Bala Nzola's goal against AS Roma (10').
- Watch E. Lulli's goal against Cagliari (15').
- Watch Niccolò Pisilli's goal against Cagliari (21').
- Watch Daniel Maldini's goal against AS Roma (81').
- Watch Rodrigo Mora's goal against Cagliari (85').
- Watch Donyell Malen's goal against Cagliari (87').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from AS Roma 4–2 Cagliari. Explore more on the AS Roma and Cagliari team pages or the Serie A page.