Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven — Eredivisie: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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CambuurPSV EindhovenCambuurPSV EindhovenMatch preview
Cambuur seek to extend winning run against third-placed PSV Eindhoven
Cambuur host PSV Eindhoven at the Kooi Stadion on Eredivisie matchday 12, with Johan Plat's side ninth on 15 points from 11 games. They arrive in strong form, having won their last three games and remained unbeaten in eight, the most recent of those wins a 4-0 victory over GO Ahead Eagles on 31 October.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Peter Bosz's PSV sit third on 23 points, eight clear of their hosts and six places higher in the table. Their recent results have been mixed: a 7-0 win over Willem II on 31 October was followed by a 2-1 home defeat to Club Brugge KV on 4 November, and in their last five games they have scored 11 goals and conceded five.
Cambuur's home record is less settled than their overall run. Of their last five home games they have won two, drawn one and lost two, scoring 12 goals and conceding 11, with two clean sheets. PSV have won two and lost three of their last five away games, scoring seven and conceding seven.
Across their last 5 meetings, Cambuur won 1, PSV Eindhoven won 4, with 0 draws. The most recent meeting was PSV Eindhoven 5–2 Cambuur on 12 March 2023. Cambuur's latest win in this sample was Cambuur 3–0 PSV Eindhoven on 1 October 2022.
Cambuur have won four and drawn one of their last five games, while PSV have won two, drawn one and lost two, scoring 11 goals in that spell.
Both sides have faced Willem II in recent weeks, with Cambuur winning 6-1 away and PSV winning 7-0 at home.
Cambuur meet PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 15:45 UTC at Kooi Stadion.
Team pages: Cambuur · PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie
Sirius · Why these numbers
Cambuur 16% · Draw 16% · PSV Eindhoven 68%
PSV Eindhoven's strength gap sets the forecast — We give PSV Eindhoven 68% because they sit 307 points higher on our strength rating, 1775 to 1468, which outweighs the usual home advantage Cambuur start with. The draw sits at 16%, a little below the usual 17.4% for a gap this size, because both teams' own recent games average 3.5 goals.
Why PSV Eindhoven at 68%?
PSV Eindhoven sit 307 points higher on our strength rating — 1775 to 1468. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.7% of 6,325 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 16–17–67.
Why only 68%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 68% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 16% and Cambuur at 16%.
Why is the draw only 16%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 17.4%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,743. The goals environment takes 1.5 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
PSV Eindhoven have averaged 13 percentage points more possession than Cambuur in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Cambuur have gained 122 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.1% of 12,006 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Eredivisie fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Cambuur and PSV Eindhoven team pages or the Eredivisie page.