HighlightsQPR FCYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 36′QPR, goal:1–0
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Cardiff, substitution:off
- 46′Cardiff, substitution:off
- 47′Cardiff, yellow card:Foul
- 53′QPR, goal:2–0assist
- 71′QPR, substitution:off
- 72′QPR, substitution:off
- 72′QPR, substitution:off
- 72′QPR, substitution:off
- 75′Cardiff, goal:2–1assist
- 77′Cardiff, yellow card:Handball
- 80′Cardiff, substitution:off
- 81′QPR, substitution:off
- 89′Cardiff, substitution:off
- 89′Cardiff, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 1
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QPR
Cardiff
Match report
QPR vs Cardiff — the facts
QPR beat Cardiff 2–1 (half-time 1–0).
QPR met Cardiff in the Championship (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Wednesday, 2 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at Loftus Road Stadium. Referee: Tim Robinson.
Team pages: QPR · Cardiff · Championship
Key moments
- 36' Goal: Rumarn Burrell — 1–0 · Watch Rumarn Burrell's goal video (36')
- 53' Goal: Rumarn Burrell (assist: Ronnie Edwards) — 2–0 · Watch Rumarn Burrell's goal video (53')
- 75' Goal: Perry Ng (assist: Ollie Tanner) — 2–1 · Watch Perry Ng's goal video (75')
Starting line-ups
QPR (4-4-2)
Cardiff (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave QPR 38%, the draw 32%, Cardiff 30%. It finished QPR 2–1 Cardiff.
Level sides, home ground holds off Cardiff's control of the ball — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and QPR's 38% is home ground and little else. The draw at 32% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why QPR in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1458 to 1415. Sides this close won 45.6% of 14,543 home games (draw 26.5%, visitors 27.9%).
Why only 38%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Cardiff hold 11 more possession points (61 to 50 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 40.2% across 5,564 games, from 44.0% when styles were level. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims QPR's column. Across 10,884 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Cardiff win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,949. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
QPR sit -0.33 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Cardiff are newly promoted — game 4 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the QPR vs Cardiff final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Rumarn Burrell's goal against Cardiff (36').
- Watch Rumarn Burrell's goal against Cardiff (53').
- Watch Perry Ng's goal against QPR (75').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from QPR 2–1 Cardiff. Explore more on the QPR and Cardiff team pages or the Championship page.