Burgos vs Granada CF — Segunda División: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsLALIGA HYPERMOTIONYouTubeMatch Events
- 17′Burgos, yellow card:Foul
- 25′Granada CF, goal:0–1assist
- 30′Granada CF, yellow card:Foul
- 44′Burgos, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 54′Burgos, yellow card:Foul
- 55′Granada CF, substitution:off
- 55′Granada CF, substitution:off
- 59′Granada CF, goal disallowed:Goal cancelled
- 64′Burgos, substitution:off
- 64′Burgos, substitution:off
- 64′Burgos, substitution:off
- 68′Granada CF, substitution:off
- 68′Granada CF, substitution:off
- 77′Burgos, substitution:off
- 83′Burgos, substitution:off
- 83′Granada CF, substitution:Chinaza Onouhaoff
- 90′Granada CF, yellow card:Foul
- 90′Granada CF, VAR review:Original decision changed
- 90+3′Burgos, yellow card:Foul
- 90+4′Granada CF, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- 90+7′Burgos, yellow card:Dissent
- Full-time0 – 1
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Burgos
Granada CF
Match report
Granada CF edge Burgos 1-0 despite being outshot 23 to 7
Granada CF won 1-0 at Burgos in a Segunda División matchday 9 fixture at Municipal El Plantio, taking the three points through a single first-half goal. Pedro Alemañ scored in the 25th minute, converting a chance created by Sergio Rodelas, and the visitors held that advantage through to the final whistle.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Burgos controlled the ball, finishing with 64 per cent possession to Granada's 36, and had far more attempts on goal, 23 shots to 7. Only six of those efforts hit the target, though, against three from the visitors, and the hosts never found an equaliser. The home side also won four corners to none.
The result lifted Granada from 10th to 9th in the table, moving them to 14 points from nine games. Burgos, who had gone into the match in eighth place with 14 points from eight games, stayed eighth on the same total after nine. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Granada CF a 21% chance of winning. Both sides are at home on Sunday 18 October in the Segunda División, Burgos against Sabadell and Granada against Cadiz.
Pedro Alemañ scored the only goal of the game, finishing off Sergio Rodelas's assist, and was the top-rated performer on the night with 8.2.
Burgos had 23 shots to Granada's 7, yet it was the visitors who left with the win.
Granada CF won 1–0 away against Burgos (half-time 0–1).
Burgos met Granada CF in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Monday, 12 October 2026, 14:15 UTC at Municipal El Plantio. Referee: Salvador Lax.
Team pages: Burgos · Granada CF · Segunda División
Key moments
- 25' Goal: Pedro Alemañ (assist: Sergio Rodelas) — 0–1
Starting line-ups
Burgos (4-4-2)
Granada CF (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Burgos 54%, the draw 25%, Granada CF 21%. It finished Burgos 0–1 Granada CF.
Burgos edge it on strength, despite Granada's possession — We give Burgos 54% mainly because they sit 101 points higher on our strength rating, 1549 to 1448, though Granada CF holding more of the ball in recent games (53% to 43%) pulls a little the other way. The draw sits at 25%, the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged slightly down because both sides' own recent games average 2.8 goals.
Why Burgos at 54%?
Burgos sit 101 points higher on our strength rating — 1549 to 1448. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.7% of 13,346 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 58–24–18.
Why only 54%?
Granada CF hold 10 more possession points (53 to 43 in recent games) across a 101-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.7% of 8,629 such games where the class table expected 40.6%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.9%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,163.
What did we measure but not count?
Burgos are unbeaten in their last 16 home Segunda División games: 10 wins and 6 draws. The run began on 21 December 2025. Last recorded home league defeat: 8 December 2025 — Burgos 0–1 Albacete. Latest home league result: 27 September 2026 — Burgos 1–0 Eldense. Across 13,701 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 56.0%, compared with 54.8% expected from team strength. Burgos have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Burgos vs Granada CF final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Segunda División fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Burgos 0–1 Granada CF. Explore more on the Burgos and Granada CF team pages or the Segunda División page.