Match report
Eldense snatch late penalty win over Cordoba
Eldense beat Cordoba 2-1 in the Segunda División on matchday nine, Fidel converting a penalty in the sixth minute of stoppage time to settle a contest that had seemed headed for a draw. The result at Nuevo Pepico Amat lifted the hosts to 11 points from nine games, while Cordoba stayed on nine.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Cordoba made the better start and took the lead in the 11th minute. Dani Tasende supplied the pass for Rubén Alves to score, and the visitors carried that 1-0 advantage into the interval.
Eldense levelled in the 62nd minute when Carlos Guirao set up Jorge Rastrojo to equalise. The match then appeared to be settling into a stalemate until the closing moments, when a penalty was awarded and Fidel stepped up at 90+6 to complete the turnaround. Both sides finished with three yellow cards, and referee Marta Huerta de Aza oversaw a match without a dismissal.
Jorge Rastrojo scored Eldense's equaliser in the 62nd minute, finishing from Carlos Guirao's assist, and was the top-rated performer on the pitch with 8.0.
Eldense had 14 shots to Cordoba's 12, though Cordoba tested the goalkeeper more often, with six efforts on target to four.
Eldense beat Cordoba 2–1 (half-time 0–1).
Eldense met Cordoba in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Saturday, 10 October 2026, 16:30 UTC at Nuevo Pepico Amat. Referee: Marta Huerta de Aza.
Team pages: Eldense · Cordoba · Segunda División
Key moments
- 11' Goal: Rubén Alves (assist: Dani Tasende) — 0–1
- 62' Goal: Jorge Rastrojo (assist: Carlos Guirao) — 1–1
- 90+6' Goal (penalty): Fidel — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Eldense (4-4-2)
Cordoba (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Eldense 42%, the draw 28%, Cordoba 30%. It finished Eldense 2–1 Cordoba.
Level sides, home ground holds off Cordoba's control of the ball — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Eldense's 42% is home ground and little else. The draw at 28% is what level sides usually produce.
Why Eldense in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1417 to 1414. Sides this close won 45.8% of 13,702 home games (draw 27.7%, visitors 26.6%).
Why only 42%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Cordoba hold 10 more possession points (58 to 48 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 39.8% across 5,466 games, from 43.9% when styles were level.
Why the draw at 28%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,118. The control factor adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Eldense are newly promoted — game 9 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. Cordoba come into this after a busy window — 14 arrivals and 15 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Eldense vs Cordoba final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Segunda División fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Eldense 2–1 Cordoba. Explore more on the Eldense and Cordoba team pages or the Segunda División page.