Match report
Almeria hit three in 10 minutes to beat Leganes
Almeria beat Leganes 3-0 in Segunda División matchday 9 at UD Almería Stadium, turning a goalless first half into a comfortable home win. The result lifted the hosts from third to second in the table, on 21 points from nine games, while Leganes stayed 15th on 11 points.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The breakthrough came in the 52nd minute, when Stefan Džodić set up Miguel de la Fuente to make it 1-0. Five minutes later de la Fuente struck again, this time from a Brian Cipenga assist, and the lead was doubled at 2-0 in the 57th minute.
Leganes had no time to regroup. In the 61st minute Quim Junyent supplied the pass for Daijiro Chirino to score the third, and the contest was effectively settled. Three goals in nine minutes after a scoreless first 45 left the visitors with too much to do.
Almeria had kicked off the day on a run of five wins from their last five league and cup outings. Leganes arrived having lost three of their previous five, scoring three goals and conceding ten across that run, and they again found little joy in attack.
Miguel de la Fuente scored twice, in the 52nd and 57th minutes, and earned the highest rating on the pitch at 8.97. Chirino, with the third goal, followed on 8.32.
Almeria had eight shots on target to one for Leganes, a gap that mirrored the three-goal margin.
Almeria beat Leganes 3–0 (half-time 0–0).
Almeria met Leganes in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Sunday, 11 October 2026, 14:15 UTC at UD Almería Stadium. Referee: G. Freixas.
Team pages: Almeria · Leganes · Segunda División
Key moments
- 52' Goal: Miguel de la Fuente (assist: Stefan Džodić) — 1–0
- 57' Goal: Miguel de la Fuente (assist: Brian Cipenga) — 2–0
- 61' Goal: Daijiro Chirino (assist: Quim Junyent) — 3–0
Starting line-ups
Almeria (4-2-3-1)
Leganes (5-3-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Almeria 65%, the draw 22%, Leganes 13%. It finished Almeria 3–0 Leganes.
Almeria's rating gap decides it — Almeria are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Almeria's 65%. The draw at 22% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Almeria at 65%?
Almeria sit 174 points higher on our strength rating — 1581 to 1408. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.8% of 6,567 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 61–26–13.
Why only 65%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 65% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and Leganes at 13%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.9%. These teams' recent games average 2.1 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,733. The goals environment adds 2.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Almeria have averaged 7 percentage points more possession than Leganes in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Leganes have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Almeria vs Leganes final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Segunda División fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Almeria 3–0 Leganes. Explore more on the Almeria and Leganes team pages or the Segunda División page.