Cadiz vs 11.10.26 19:000 – 1Full Time
Sporting Gijon — Segunda División: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Pablo García strikes late as Sporting Gijon beat Cadiz
Sporting Gijon won 1-0 at Cadiz in Segunda División matchday 9, Pablo García scoring in the 87th minute at Nuevo Mirandilla after a goalless first half that gave little away. The visitors, managed by Nicolás Larcamón, had to wait until the closing stages for the decisive moment.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Cadiz, under Celades, saw more of the ball, finishing with 54 per cent possession and winning eight corners to six, yet they could not turn that territory into a breakthrough. Sporting had 13 shots to the hosts' seven, though each side managed only one on target, and the match was settled by the single goal that arrived three minutes before the end of normal time.
The result lifted Sporting from eighth to sixth, with 16 points from nine games after starting the day on 13 from eight. Cadiz began the day 20th on seven points from eight and remained there, still on seven points after nine matches. Sporting's recent away form had been strong, with four wins in their last five games on the road.
Pablo García scored the only goal of the match in the 87th minute and earned the highest rating of any player, 7.79.
Sporting Gijon had 13 shots to Cadiz's seven, even though the home side held more possession.
Sporting Gijon won 1–0 away against Cadiz (half-time 0–0).
Cadiz met Sporting Gijon in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Sunday, 11 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Nuevo Mirandilla. Referee: Saul Ais Reig.
Team pages: Cadiz · Sporting Gijon · Segunda División
Key moments
- 87' Goal: Pablo García — 0–1
Starting line-ups
Cadiz (4-2-3-1)
Sporting Gijon (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Cadiz 32%, the draw 29%, Sporting Gijon 39%. It finished Cadiz 0–1 Sporting Gijon.
Sporting Gijon's rating edge outweighs Cadiz's home ground — Sporting Gijon are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Sporting Gijon's 39%. The draw at 29% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Sporting Gijon at 39%?
Sporting Gijon sit 115 points higher on our strength rating — 1376 to 1491. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.9% of 13,822 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 32–30–38.
Why only 39%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 39% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 29% and Cadiz at 32%.
Why the draw at 29%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,299. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Cadiz come into this after a busy window — 15 arrivals, 20 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Cadiz are 1 game into a new manager (Albert Celades), appointed 40 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Segunda División fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Cadiz 0–1 Sporting Gijon. Explore more on the Cadiz and Sporting Gijon team pages or the Segunda División page.