Valladolid vs 12.10.26 12:004 – 0Half TimeAlbacete — Segunda División: stats, lineups & analysis

Match preview

Valladolid vs Albacete — the facts

Valladolid meet Albacete in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off is Monday, 12 October 2026, 12:00 UTC at Estadio José Zorrilla. Referee: Miranda Bolano.

Team pages: Valladolid · Albacete · Segunda División

Key moments

14' Goal: Julien Ponceau (assist: Thiago Ojeda) — 1–0
22' Goal: David Torres (assist: Víctor Fernández) — 2–0
31' Goal: Adrian Arnuncio (assist: Julien Ponceau) — 3–0
36' Goal: Juanmi Latasa (assist: Iván Garriel) — 4–0

Starting line-ups

Valladolid (4-1-3-2)

Albacete (4-4-2)

Sirius · Why these numbers

Valladolid 38% · Draw 29% · Albacete 33%

Home advantage edges Valladolid in front — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, Valladolid's usual home advantage puts them narrowly ahead at 38%, though Albacete's cold finishing streak pulls the other way, as streaks like that have bounced back. The draw sits at 29%, up from a usual 27% for sides this level, nudged higher by both teams' typical 2.4-goal recent games and that finishing streak.

Why Valladolid in front?

Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1398 to 1434. Sides this close won 42.6% of 14,809 home games (draw 27.1%, visitors 30.3%).

Why only 38%?

Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Albacete sit -0.59 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 31.5% of 1,367 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally.

Why the draw at 29%?

Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,308. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.

What did we measure but not count?

Valladolid sit -0.39 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Albacete have shed 85 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,593 such games vs 33.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.

Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab

About this match

Valladolid vs Albacete is under way (HT) — follow the live score on this page, watch goal clips and goal videos as every goal goes in, and check lineups and live match stats from this Segunda División fixture.

Who has scored so far — a goal-by-goal timeline as the match unfolds.
Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.

Explore more on the Valladolid and Albacete team pages or the Segunda División page.