Montpellier vs Metz — Ligue 2: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow5 clips- 21′Metz, yellow card:Foul
- 26′Metz, goal:0–1
- 31′Montpellier, yellow card:Foul
- 43′Metz, own goal:0–2Own goal
- Half-time0 – 2
- 50′Montpellier, goal:1–2assist
- 51′Metz, goal:1–3assist
- 60′Metz, yellow card:Foul
- 62′Montpellier, substitution:off
- 62′Montpellier, substitution:off
- 62′Montpellier, substitution:off
- 66′Montpellier, substitution:off
- 80′Metz, substitution:off
- 80′Metz, substitution:off
- 90′Montpellier, goal:2–3
- 90+1′Metz, substitution:off
- 90+2′Metz, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 3
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
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Player Ratings
Montpellier
Metz
Match report
Metz hold off Montpellier late fightback to win 3-2 in Ligue 2
Metz won 3-2 at Montpellier's Stade de la Mosson on Matchday 12 of Ligue 2, edging a match that Montpellier dominated in possession but could not turn into a point. Bouna Sarr put the visitors ahead in the 26th minute, and Yaël Mouanga turned the ball into his own net in the 43rd to leave Montpellier two down at the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Montpellier hit back straight after the restart. Daylam Meddah scored in the 50th minute from a Naoufel El Hannach assist, but Metz restored their two-goal lead within a minute, Jessy Deminguet finishing from Pape Moussa Fall's pass in the 51st. That sequence settled the shape of the second half, with Montpellier pressing and Metz defending the lead.
Mamadou Camara pulled one back in the 90th minute, setting up a tense finish, but Metz held on. Montpellier's run of six games unbeaten ended. The result lifted Metz from tenth to seventh on 17 points, while Montpellier slipped from second to third on 24. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Metz an 18% chance of winning. Both sides are next in action in the Coupe de France on Saturday 14 November, Montpellier away to Balagne and Metz away to Kellermann.
Daylam Meddah earned the highest rating of the match, 7.66, for his goal in the 50th minute that restarted Montpellier's challenge. Bouna Sarr was close behind at 7.43 after scoring the opener for Metz.
Montpellier had 23 shots to Metz's six, yet finished on the losing side.
Metz won 3–2 away against Montpellier (half-time 0–2).
Montpellier met Metz in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off was Friday, 6 November 2026, 19:00 UTC at Stade de la Mosson. Referee: Eddy Rosier.
Team pages: Montpellier · Metz · Ligue 2
Key moments
- 26' Goal: Bouna Sarr — 0–1 · Watch Bouna Sarr's goal video (26')
- 43' Goal (own goal): Yaël Mouanga — 0–2 · Watch Yaël Mouanga's goal video (43')
- 50' Goal: Daylam Meddah (assist: Naoufel El Hannach) — 1–2 · Watch Daylam Meddah's goal video (50')
- 51' Goal: Jessy Deminguet (assist: Pape Moussa Fall) — 1–3 · Watch Jessy Deminguet's goal video (51')
- 90' Goal: Mamadou Camara — 2–3 · Watch Mamadou Camara's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Montpellier (4-2-3-1)
Metz (5-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Montpellier 56%, the draw 26%, Metz 18%. It finished Montpellier 2–3 Metz.
Montpellier's stronger rating sets the lead — Montpellier sit 135 points higher on our strength rating, 1605 to 1470, and with the usual home advantage on top we give them 56% to Metz's 18%. The draw sits at 26%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged up slightly because both sides' recent games average 2.5 goals.
Why Montpellier at 56%?
Montpellier sit 135 points higher on our strength rating — 1605 to 1470. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.6% of 14,391 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 60–27–13.
Why only 56%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 56% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Metz at 18%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,399. The goals environment adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Montpellier scored +0.35 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,264 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 40.9% vs 42.2% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Montpellier have gained 75 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.1% of 12,006 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Montpellier vs Metz final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 2 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Bouna Sarr's goal against Montpellier (26').
- Watch Yaël Mouanga's own goal video (43').
- Watch Daylam Meddah's goal against Metz (50').
- Watch Jessy Deminguet's goal against Montpellier (51').
- Watch Mamadou Camara's goal against Metz (90').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Montpellier 2–3 Metz. Explore more on the Montpellier and Metz team pages or the Ligue 2 page.