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Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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GrenobleReimsGrenobleReimsMatch preview
Struggling Grenoble host unbeaten Reims in Ligue 2 at Stade des Alpes
Grenoble welcome Reims to Stade des Alpes on Ligue 2 matchday 12 with the two sides sitting at opposite ends of the division's spectrum. Olivier Frapolli's team are 18th with 8 points from 11 games, while Nicolas Usaï's visitors are fourth on 21 points, 13 clear of their hosts and 14 places higher.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Grenoble arrive on a difficult run, having lost their last four games and gone five without a win. Their last five league and cup outings brought four defeats and one draw, with three goals scored and ten conceded. The most recent of those was a 3-1 home loss to Dijon.
Reims, by contrast, are unbeaten in 18 games. Their last five brought two wins and three draws, the latest a 2-0 home victory over Sochaux, and they have kept two clean sheets in that spell. Away from home they have drawn three and won two of their last five, scoring seven and conceding three.
Across their last 2 meetings, Grenoble won 1, Reims won 0, with 1 draw. The most recent meeting was Grenoble 0–0 Reims on 14 February 2026. Grenoble's latest win in this sample was Reims 2–4 Grenoble on 4 October 2025.
Grenoble have lost four of their last five, scoring three goals and conceding ten, while Reims have won two and drawn three of theirs without defeat.
Grenoble have lost three of their last five home games, while Reims have not lost any of their last five away.
Grenoble meet Reims in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off is Friday, 6 November 2026, 19:00 UTC at Stade des Alpes. Referee: Retail Pierre.
Sirius · Why these numbers
Grenoble 24% · Draw 23% · Reims 53%
Reims' strength gap gives them the edge — Reims sit 215 points higher on our strength rating, 1612 to 1397, which outweighs Grenoble's usual home advantage and is why we give Reims 53%. The draw sits at 23%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged down slightly because both sides' recent games average 2.9 goals.
Why Reims at 53%?
Reims sit 215 points higher on our strength rating — 1612 to 1397. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.5% of 7,223 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 24–23–53.
Why only 53%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 53% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and Grenoble at 24%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 23.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360.
What did we measure but not count?
Reims have averaged 5 percentage points more possession than Grenoble in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Grenoble come into this after a busy window — 18 arrivals and 10 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Grenoble vs Reims, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Ligue 2 fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Grenoble and Reims team pages or the Ligue 2 page.