Clermont Foot vs Rodez — Ligue 2: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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Clermont FootRodezClermont FootRodezMatch preview
Clermont Foot host Rodez in Ligue 2 with a winless run at 11 games
Clermont Foot welcome Rodez to the Stade Gabriel Montpied on Matchday 12 of Ligue 2, and David Guion's side arrive in search of a first win in 11 games. They sit 17th on 8 points from 11 matches, a position that makes the fixture a pressing one for the hosts.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Rodez, managed by Didier Santini, are 11th on 13 points from the same number of games, five points and six places clear of their opponents. Their last two outings have both ended in victories, 2-1 at Dijon and 1-0 at home to Dunkerque, after three successive defeats.
Clermont's five-game form reads three draws and two defeats without a win: 1-1 at Grenoble, a 3-2 home loss to RED Star FC 93 in which they conceded three, a 3-3 draw at Laval, a 2-0 home defeat by Guingamp and, most recently, a 1-1 draw at Nantes. They have scored seven and conceded ten in those matches.
Across their last 5 meetings, Clermont Foot won 1, Rodez won 2, with 2 draws. The most recent meeting was Clermont Foot 1–2 Rodez on 13 February 2026. Clermont Foot's latest win in this sample was Rodez 0–1 Clermont Foot on 19 September 2025.
Rodez have won their last two after losing three in a row, while Clermont Foot have drawn three and lost two of their last five without a victory.
Clermont Foot have drawn three and lost two of their last five home games, keeping two clean sheets, while Rodez have won two and lost three of their last five away.
Clermont Foot meet Rodez in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 13:00 UTC at Stade Gabriel-Montpied. Referee: Henry Gabriel.
Team pages: Clermont Foot · Rodez · Ligue 2
Sirius · Why these numbers
Clermont Foot 35% · Draw 27% · Rodez 38%
Rodez edge it on our strength rating — Rodez sit 108 points higher on our strength rating, 1506 to 1398, which puts them slightly in front at 38%, though Clermont Foot's habit of controlling the ball, 51 to 42 in possession, keeps them close at 35%. The draw starts at the usual 28% for a gap this size and dips to 27% as both sides' recent games average 3.0 goals.
Why Rodez at 38%?
Rodez sit 108 points higher on our strength rating — 1506 to 1398. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,872 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 36–22–42.
Why only 38%?
Clermont Foot hold 9 more possession points (51 to 42 in recent games) across a 108-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.7% of 9,367 such games where the class table expected 40.5%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360.
What did we measure but not count?
Rodez have shed 74 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 10,436 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Clermont Foot vs Rodez, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Ligue 2 fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Clermont Foot and Rodez team pages or the Ligue 2 page.