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Nancy
SochauxNancySochauxMatch preview
Nancy host Sochaux in Ligue 2 with a five-game winning run on the line
Nancy welcome Sochaux to Stade Marcel-Picot on Matchday 12 of Ligue 2 in contrasting form. Oswald Tanchot's side sit third in the table with 22 points from 11 games, while Vincent Hognon's Sochaux are 13th on 11 points, 10 places and 11 points behind their hosts.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Nancy have won their last five games, scoring 12 goals and conceding five across that stretch, with two clean sheets. The latest of those was a 4-1 victory at RED Star FC 93 on 2 November, and the run also includes wins over Rodez, Guingamp, Annecy and Laval.
Sochaux arrive having lost their last three and gone five games without a win. They were beaten 2-0 at Reims last time out, after defeats to Annecy and Metz, and across their last five they have scored five and conceded 10 without a clean sheet.
Across their last 5 meetings, Nancy won 0, Sochaux won 1, with 4 draws. The most recent meeting was Sochaux 1–0 Nancy on 9 April 2022.
Nancy have won all five of their last five games, while Sochaux have drawn two and lost three of theirs, scoring five goals and conceding 10.
Both sides have faced Annecy and Laval recently: Nancy beat both, while Sochaux drew with Laval and lost 3-1 at home to Annecy.
Nancy meet Sochaux in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off is Friday, 6 November 2026, 19:00 UTC at Stade Marcel-Picot. Referee: Leprodhomme·Tifenn.
Sirius · Why these numbers
Nancy 48% · Draw 30% · Sochaux 22%
Home advantage and possession give Nancy the edge — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, Nancy's home advantage is the main reason we give them 48%, and their habit of controlling the ball, 53% possession to 44% in recent games, adds to it. The draw sits at 30%, up from the usual 27.5% because both teams' own recent games average just 2.2 goals.
Why Nancy in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1482 to 1458. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,593 home games (draw 27.5%, visitors 26.6%). Nancy hold 9 more possession points (53 to 44 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.5% of 5,647 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 48%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 30% and Sochaux at 22%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Sochaux win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.2 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.1% of 19,748. The goals environment adds 3.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Nancy have gained 89 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.1% of 12,006 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Sochaux are unbeaten in their last 7 visits to Nancy: 1 win and 6 draws, across 2 Ligue 1 games and 5 Ligue 2 games. Last recorded defeat there: 11 December 2010 — Nancy 1–0 Sochaux. Latest visit: 30 October 2021 — Nancy 0–0 Sochaux. Across 2,308 historical matches involving visitors unbeaten in at least five consecutive visits, those visitors won 47.3%, compared with 45.2% expected from the teams' strength ratings. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Nancy vs Sochaux, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Ligue 2 fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Nancy and Sochaux team pages or the Ligue 2 page.