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Dunkerque
GuingampDunkerqueGuingampMatch preview
Dunkerque host Guingamp in Ligue 2 with both sides in the lower-middle table
Dunkerque welcome Guingamp to Stade Marcel Tribut on Ligue 2 Matchday 12, with the hosts 12th in the table on 12 points from 11 games. Albert Sánchez's side have found goals hard to come by lately, failing to score in three of their last five matches and managing four in total.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Guingamp, managed by Sylvain Ripoll, arrive ninth on 14 points from 11 games, three places and two points above their hosts. Their recent form has turned after three straight defeats, with a 2-0 win at Clermont Foot followed by a 3-0 home victory over Saint Etienne last time out.
Dunkerque's most recent outing was a 1-0 defeat at Rodez, and they have won one of their last five home games, drawing two and losing two. Guingamp have won one of their last five away games, with one draw and three defeats.
Across their last 5 meetings, Dunkerque won 2, Guingamp won 1, with 2 draws. The most recent meeting was Dunkerque 0–0 Guingamp on 6 February 2026. Dunkerque's latest win in this sample was Dunkerque 1–0 Guingamp on 14 May 2025. Guingamp's latest win in this sample was Guingamp 2–1 Dunkerque on 23 September 2025.
Guingamp have won their last two, scoring five without reply, while Dunkerque have lost three of their last five and drawn one.
Both sides have faced PAU recently, with Dunkerque beaten 2-0 away and Guingamp losing 2-1 at home.
Dunkerque meet Guingamp in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off is Friday, 6 November 2026, 19:00 UTC at Stade Marcel-Tribut. Referee: Pierre Gaillouste.
Sirius · Why these numbers
Dunkerque 42% · Draw 28% · Guingamp 30%
Home advantage gives Dunkerque a slight lean — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, 1452 to 1453, the usual home advantage is what puts Dunkerque in front at 42%, even though that tiny rating edge helps Guingamp. The draw sits at 28%, up from the usual 27% for sides this level because both teams' recent games average a typical 2.6 goals.
Why Dunkerque in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1452 to 1453. Sides this close won 42.5% of 15,673 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%).
Why only 42%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 28% and Guingamp at 30%.
Why the draw at 28%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,399. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Dunkerque come into this after a busy window — 13 arrivals, 19 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336).
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Dunkerque vs Guingamp, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Ligue 2 fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Dunkerque and Guingamp team pages or the Ligue 2 page.