Bayern München vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBundesligaYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow2 clips- 12′Bayern München, goal:1–0assist
- 26′Bayern München, goal:2–0assist
- 34′Bayern München, goal:3–0assist
- Half-time3 – 0
- 46′RB Leipzig, substitution:off
- 46′RB Leipzig, substitution:off
- 47′Bayern München, goal:4–0assist
- 51′Bayern München, yellow card:
- 53′Bayern München, goal:5–0assist
- 59′Bayern München, substitution:off
- 59′Bayern München, substitution:off
- 59′RB Leipzig, substitution:off
- 59′Bayern München, substitution:off
- 59′Bayern München, substitution:off
- 60′RB Leipzig, substitution:off
- 69′Bayern München, goal:6–0assist
- 71′RB Leipzig, substitution:off
- 77′Bayern München, substitution:off
- 90+1′RB Leipzig, goal:6–1assist
- Full-time6 – 1
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Key Stats
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Bayern München
RB Leipzig
Match report
Bayern München hit RB Leipzig for six at the Allianz Arena
Bayern München beat RB Leipzig 6-1 in the Bundesliga on matchday six at the Allianz Arena, a result that took them to the top of the table. Luis Díaz opened the scoring in the 12th minute, converting a Joshua Kimmich assist, and Aleksandar Pavlović doubled the lead in the 26th, set up by Díaz.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Michael Olise made it 3-0 in the 34th minute from a Harry Kane assist, and Bayern led by that margin at half-time. Leipzig had no answer after the restart: Díaz claimed his second a minute into the half, in the 47th, again with Kane providing the pass, before Kane scored himself in the 52nd from Nathaniel Brown's assist.
Díaz completed his hat-trick in the 69th minute, Olise supplying the final pass to make it 6-0. Andrija Maksimović pulled one back for Leipzig in the 90+1 minute, converting a Brajan Gruda assist, but the goal was no more than a consolation. The match produced seven goals in total. Bayern climbed from third to first on 14 points, with Leipzig seventh on nine, and the result extended Bayern's unbeaten run to 15 games.
Both sides turn to European action on Wednesday: Bayern are at home to Arsenal in the UEFA Champions League, while Leipzig travel to Real Madrid in the same competition.
Díaz scored three times and provided one assist, finishing with a rating of 9.87 as the top performer. His goals came in the 12th, 47th and 69th minutes, and he also set up Pavlović's strike.
Bayern had 17 shots on target to Leipzig's four, a gap that reflected the home side's dominance in front of goal.
Bayern München beat RB Leipzig 6–1 (half-time 3–0).
Bayern München met RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 16:30 UTC at Allianz Arena. Referee: Tobias Stieler. Attendance: 75,024.
Team pages: Bayern München · RB Leipzig · Bundesliga
Key moments
- 12' Goal: Luis Díaz (assist: Joshua Kimmich) — 1–0
- 26' Goal: Aleksandar Pavlović (assist: Luis Díaz) — 2–0 · Watch Aleksandar Pavlović's goal video (26')
- 34' Goal: Michael Olise (assist: Harry Kane) — 3–0 · Watch Michael Olise's goal video (34')
- 47' Goal: Luis Díaz (assist: Harry Kane) — 4–0
- 53' Goal: Harry Kane (assist: Nathaniel Brown) — 5–0
- 69' Goal: Luis Díaz (assist: Michael Olise) — 6–0
- 90+1' Goal: Andrija Maksimović (assist: Brajan Gruda) — 6–1
Starting line-ups
Bayern München (4-2-3-1)
RB Leipzig (4-5-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Bayern München 78%, the draw 13%, RB Leipzig 9%. It finished Bayern München 6–1 RB Leipzig.
Bayern München's big strength gap outweighs early-season caution — Bayern München sit 294 points higher on our strength rating, 2057 to 1763, which is why we give them 78%, though the early-season timing trims their chances slightly because home wins land softer this early. The draw sits at 13%, the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged up by the early season and back down by high-scoring recent games.
Why Bayern München at 78%?
Bayern München sit 294 points higher on our strength rating — 2057 to 1763. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.2% of 5,567 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 78–13–9.
Why not higher?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Bayern München's column. Across 11,298 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.7%, with draws up 1.4 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw only 13%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 13.0%. These teams' recent games average 4.1 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,940. Early-season fixtures add 1.4 points to the draw. The goals environment takes 1.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Bayern München have averaged 11 percentage points more possession than RB Leipzig in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 9 home Bundesliga games: 8 wins and 1 draw. The run began on 8 February 2026. Last recorded home league defeat: 24 January 2026 — Bayern München 1–2 FC Augsburg. Latest home league result: 18 September 2026 — Bayern München 7–0 Union Berlin. Across 13,724 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 56.0%, compared with 54.8% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Bayern München vs RB Leipzig final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Aleksandar Pavlović's goal against RB Leipzig (26').
- Watch Michael Olise's goal against RB Leipzig (34').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Bayern München 6–1 RB Leipzig. Explore more on the Bayern München and RB Leipzig team pages or the Bundesliga page.