Real Madrid vs 21.10.26 19:004 – 1Full Time
RB Leipzig — UEFA Champions League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Real Madrid beat RB Leipzig 4-1 at the Santiago Bernabéu
Real Madrid beat RB Leipzig 4-1 at the Santiago Bernabéu on matchday 3 of the Champions League league stage. The hosts led 1-0 at the break and extended that advantage after the interval, before a late flurry produced four of the match's five goals in the final 45 minutes.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Bernardo Silva broke the deadlock in the 43rd minute, and Arda Güler doubled the lead in the 52nd, converting a Kylian Mbappé assist. Real Madrid dominated the ball with 65% possession and had 18 shots to 11, six of which were on target for Leipzig, who struggled to build sustained pressure.
Mbappé made it 3-0 in the 83rd minute from a Yan Diomande assist, and Leipzig responded within two minutes, Tidiam Gomis finishing from a Christoph Baumgartner pass in the 85th. Diomande then scored himself in the 87th, set up by Brahim Díaz, to restore a three-goal cushion. The win was Real Madrid's fourth in a row.
Real Madrid next travel to Barcelona in La Liga on Sunday, while Leipzig host SV Elversberg in the Bundesliga on Saturday.
Mbappé scored once and provided an assist for Güler, earning the top rating of 8.42 among the performers listed. Silva and Güler, each on 8.2, also scored.
Real Madrid put 11 shots on target to Leipzig's 6, reflecting how much of the match was played in the visitors' half.
Real Madrid beat RB Leipzig 4–1 (half-time 1–0).
Real Madrid met RB Leipzig in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 3). Kick-off was Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium. Referee: Istvan Kovacs.
Team pages: Real Madrid · RB Leipzig · UEFA Champions League
Key moments
- 43' Goal: Bernardo Silva — 1–0 · Watch Bernardo Silva's goal video (43')
- 52' Goal: Arda Güler (assist: Kylian Mbappé) — 2–0 · Watch Arda Güler's goal video (52')
- 83' Goal: Kylian Mbappé (assist: Yan Diomande) — 3–0 · Watch Kylian Mbappé's goal video (83')
- 85' Goal: Tidiam Gomis (assist: Christoph Baumgartner) — 3–1 · Watch Tidiam Gomis's goal video (85')
- 87' Goal: Yan Diomande (assist: Brahim Díaz) — 4–1 · Watch Yan Diomande's goal video (87')
Starting line-ups
Real Madrid (4-2-3-1)
RB Leipzig (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Real Madrid 72%, the draw 15%, RB Leipzig 13%. It finished Real Madrid 4–1 RB Leipzig.
Real Madrid's strength gap drives a one-sided forecast — We give Real Madrid 72% mainly because they sit 196 points higher on our strength rating, 1953 to 1757, with the usual home advantage adding to it. The draw sits at 15%, just below the usual 17% for a gap this size, because both sides' own recent games average 4.2 goals.
Why Real Madrid at 72%?
Real Madrid sit 196 points higher on our strength rating — 1953 to 1757. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.8% of 6,593 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 71–16–13.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 72% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 15% and RB Leipzig at 13%.
Why is the draw only 15%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 16.7%. These teams' recent games average 4.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 17,071. The goals environment takes 1.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Real Madrid won 2 of the last 4 meetings with RB Leipzig. The record is 2 wins for Real Madrid, 1 draw and 1 win for RB Leipzig. These were 4 UEFA Champions League games played at both grounds between 14 September 2022 and 6 March 2024. Latest meeting: 6 March 2024 — Real Madrid 1–1 RB Leipzig. In 5,194 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 43.9%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Champions League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Bernardo Silva's goal against RB Leipzig (43').
- Watch Arda Güler's goal against RB Leipzig (52').
- Watch Kylian Mbappé's goal against RB Leipzig (83').
- Watch Tidiam Gomis's goal against Real Madrid (85').
- Watch Yan Diomande's goal against RB Leipzig (87').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Real Madrid 4–1 RB Leipzig. Explore more on the Real Madrid and RB Leipzig team pages or the UEFA Champions League page.
