Bournemouth vs 15.10.26 19:003 – 0Full Time
Sturm Graz — UEFA Europa League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Bournemouth beat Sturm Graz 3-0 at the Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth won 3-0 against Sturm Graz at the Vitality Stadium in matchday 2 of the Europa League league stage. The hosts were ahead at the break through Evanilson and added two more goals in the second half, one of them a penalty in stoppage time, to complete a comfortable evening.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The breakthrough came in the 43rd minute, when Adam Smith supplied the pass for Evanilson to make it 1-0 just before half-time. Sturm Graz, managed by Fabio Ingolitsch, failed to find a way back after the restart, and Bournemouth's pressure told again in the 76th minute when Rayan scored the second.
The scoring was completed in the 90+2 minute, when Álvaro Rodríguez converted a penalty to make it 3-0. Bournemouth had 62% of the possession and had 23 shots to 6, with seven on target to one. Both sides were shown three yellow cards, and nobody was sent off.
The result followed back-to-back defeats for Bournemouth, the latest a 5-1 loss at Chelsea. Their next game is a Premier League match at home to Sunderland on Sunday 18 October, while Sturm Graz host Marseille in the Europa League on Thursday 22 October.
Evanilson earned the highest rating of any player, 8.2, for the opening goal just before the interval. Rayan, who added the second, was rated 7.73.
Bournemouth had 23 shots to Sturm Graz's 6, a gap that reflected how one-sided the match was.
Bournemouth beat Sturm Graz 3–0 (half-time 1–0).
Bournemouth met Sturm Graz in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 2). Kick-off was Thursday, 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Vitality Stadium. Referee: Jérôme Brisard.
Team pages: Bournemouth · Sturm Graz · UEFA Europa League
Key moments
- 43' Goal: Evanilson (assist: Adam Smith) — 1–0 · Watch Evanilson's goal video (43')
- 76' Goal: Rayan — 2–0 · Watch Rayan's goal video (76')
- 90+2' Goal (penalty): Álvaro Rodríguez — 3–0
Starting line-ups
Bournemouth (4-4-2)
Sturm Graz (5-3-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Bournemouth 78%, the draw 17%, Sturm Graz 5%. It finished Bournemouth 3–0 Sturm Graz.
Bournemouth's strength edge makes this one-sided — Bournemouth sit 283 points higher on our strength rating, 1794 to 1511, and home sides in the UEFA Europa League do better than the usual norm, so we give them 78%. The draw starts near 18% for a gap this size, is pulled down by the lower draw rate in this competition and edges up slightly with typical scoring, landing at 17%.
Why Bournemouth at 78%?
Bournemouth sit 283 points higher on our strength rating — 1794 to 1511. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.2% of 5,559 such games. UEFA Europa League home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (23.2% vs 25.4% norm). UEFA Europa League homes won 47.0% of 4,456 games vs 44.6% across all 101,206 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 76–19–5.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 78% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 17% and Sturm Graz at 5%.
Why is the draw only 17%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 18.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,322. UEFA Europa League produces fewer draws than most, taking 2.2 points off.
What did we measure but not count?
Bournemouth have averaged 7 percentage points more possession than Sturm Graz in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Bournemouth are 8 games into a new manager (M. Rose), appointed 53 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Bournemouth 3–0 Sturm Graz. Explore more on the Bournemouth and Sturm Graz team pages or the UEFA Europa League page.