HNK Hajduk Split vs 15.10.26 16:452 – 1Full Time
Ajax — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
HNK Hajduk Split come from level to beat Ajax 2-1 at Stadion Poljud
HNK Hajduk Split beat Ajax 2-1 at Stadion Poljud on the opening matchday of the Europa Conference League league stage. The hosts led at half-time through Abdoulie Sanyang's 37th-minute goal, and they needed only two minutes of the second half's opening spell to restore their advantage after an Ajax equaliser.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Sanyang opened the scoring on 37 minutes, converting a chance created by Marin Šotiček. Ajax emerged from the interval and levelled in the 53rd minute, when Davy Klaassen scored from a Thilo Kehrer assist, making it 1-1.
The visitors' joy lasted barely two minutes. Šotiček, who had provided the first goal, scored the second in the 55th minute from a Michele Šego assist, and Hajduk held that lead. Ajax had the greater share of the ball, but the hosts had the sharper edge in attack and kept a firm grip on the closing stages.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given HNK Hajduk Split a 25% chance of winning. Hajduk travel to FC Thun in the competition on Thursday 22 October, while Ajax visit Groningen in the Eredivisie on Sunday 18 October.
Abdoulie Sanyang earned the top rating of 8.5 after scoring the opener on 37 minutes. Marin Šotiček also scored and set up Sanyang's goal, finishing with a rating of 7.9.
Hajduk had 13 shots to Ajax's 10, with seven on target to four, despite Ajax holding 55% of possession.
HNK Hajduk Split beat Ajax 2–1 (half-time 1–0).
HNK Hajduk Split met Ajax in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 1). Kick-off was Thursday, 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC at Stadion Poljud. Referee: P. Ciochirca.
Team pages: HNK Hajduk Split · Ajax · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 37' Goal: Abdoulie Sanyang (assist: Marin Šotiček) — 1–0 · Watch Abdoulie Sanyang's goal video (37')
- 53' Goal: Davy Klaassen (assist: Thilo Kehrer) — 1–1 · Watch Davy Klaassen's goal video (53')
- 55' Goal: Marin Šotiček (assist: Michele Šego) — 2–1 · Watch Marin Šotiček's goal video (55')
Starting line-ups
HNK Hajduk Split (4-2-3-1)
Ajax (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave HNK Hajduk Split 25%, the draw 23%, Ajax 52%. It finished HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Ajax.
Ajax's stronger rating outweighs Hajduk's home edge — We give Ajax 52% mainly because our strength rating has them 184 points higher, 1677 to 1493, which outweighs the usual home advantage HNK Hajduk Split start with. The draw sits at 23%, down from the usual 25% for a gap this size, because both teams' own recent games average 4.1 goals.
Why Ajax at 52%?
Ajax sit 184 points higher on our strength rating — 1677 to 1493. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.9% of 6,686 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 30–25–45.
Why only 52%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 52% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and HNK Hajduk Split at 25%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 4.1 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,922. The goals environment takes 2.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Ajax have averaged 16 percentage points more possession than HNK Hajduk Split in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Abdoulie Sanyang's goal against Ajax (37').
- Watch Davy Klaassen's goal against HNK Hajduk Split (53').
- Watch Marin Šotiček's goal against Ajax (55').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Ajax. Explore more on the HNK Hajduk Split and Ajax team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.