Montenegro vs 05.10.26 18:450 – 0Full TimeArmenia — UEFA Nations League: stats, lineups & analysis

Match report

Montenegro held by Armenia despite late red card for Lončar

Montenegro and Armenia played out a goalless draw at Gradski Stadion in a UEFA Nations League League C Group 2 fixture that left both sides without a goal to show for their efforts. The result kept Montenegro top of the group on 10 points from four games, while Armenia remained third with four points from the same number of matches.

AI-assisted match report written from official match data.

The match stayed level throughout, with neither side able to find a breakthrough despite Montenegro's dominance of territory and chances. The only incident of real note came in the 86th minute, when Stefan Lončar was sent off for Montenegro, leaving the hosts to see out the closing stages with ten men.

Montenegro controlled possession with 64 percent of the ball and had the better of the goal-scoring opportunities, registering five shots on target to Armenia's two. Despite that balance of play and a flurry of four corners to Armenia's two, Robert Prosinečki's side could not convert their superiority into a goal, and Melikyan's Armenia held firm to take a point away from home.

Stefan Savić was the leading performer on the pitch, finishing with a rating of 7.66 as Montenegro's defence and build-up play anchored around him despite the eventual red card for a teammate.

Montenegro's dominance was underlined by a 64 percent share of possession against Armenia's 36 percent.

Montenegro and Armenia drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).

Montenegro met Armenia in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 4). Kick-off was Monday, 5 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Gradski Stadion. Referee: Manfredas Lukjancukas.

Team pages: Montenegro · Armenia · UEFA Nations League

Key moments

86' Red card: Stefan Lončar

Starting line-ups

Montenegro (4-3-3)

Armenia (4-2-3-1)

Sirius · Why these numbers

Before kick-off Sirius gave Montenegro 58%, the draw 23%, Armenia 19%. It finished Montenegro 0–0 Armenia.

Montenegro's rating edge carries it — Montenegro are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Montenegro's 58%. The draw at 23% is held down by a high-scoring environment.

Why Montenegro at 58%?

Montenegro sit 90 points higher on our strength rating — 1515 to 1425. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.6% of 13,299 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 52–26–22.

Why only 58%?

No scored evidence points the other way. 58% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and Armenia at 19%.

Why is the draw only 23%?

With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,826. The goals environment takes 2.2 points off the draw.

What did we measure but not count?

Last five: Montenegro W-W-W, Armenia W-L-L — Montenegro are clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 43.3% of 1900 games when clearly hotter and 43.7% of 3633 when clearly colder. Montenegro (11 fully-tracked matches with us) and Armenia (9) carry strength ratings anchored to the official international ratings list, so the class read stands on far more than our own short records. National sides play too few games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from the published international ratings instead of a blind first guess.

Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab

About this match

On this page: the Montenegro vs Armenia final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.

Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.

Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Montenegro 0–0 Armenia. Explore more on the Montenegro and Armenia team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.