Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands — UEFA Nations League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsUEFAUEFA.comMatch Events
play_arrow6 clips- 22′Faroe Islands, goal:0–1assist
- 38′Kazakhstan, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Kazakhstan, substitution:off
- 46′Kazakhstan, substitution:off
- 52′Faroe Islands, yellow card:Foul
- 52′Faroe Islands, yellow card:Foul
- 53′Faroe Islands, substitution:off
- 63′Faroe Islands, goal:0–2
- 65′Faroe Islands, red card:
- 68′Kazakhstan, goal:1–2
- 69′Faroe Islands, substitution:off
- 73′Kazakhstan, substitution:off
- 73′Kazakhstan, substitution:off
- 76′Kazakhstan, goal:2–2assist
- 82′Faroe Islands, substitution:off
- 82′Faroe Islands, substitution:off
- 85′Kazakhstan, red card:Serious foul
- 87′Kazakhstan, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 2
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Kazakhstan
Faroe Islands
Match report
Kazakhstan fight back from two down to draw with Faroe Islands
Kazakhstan and the Faroe Islands shared four goals in a dramatic UEFA Nations League League C clash at Astana Arena, the hosts twice coming from behind to salvage a 2-2 draw in front of their own supporters. The result left Kazakhstan fourth in Group 3 on four matchdays played, while the Faroe Islands moved to second.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The visitors struck first through Petur Knudsen, who converted a Jóannes Bjartalíð assist in the 22nd minute to put the Faroe Islands ahead at the break. Géza Turi doubled their advantage in the 63rd minute, and within two minutes Martin Agnarsson was sent off for the away side, leaving them to defend their lead a man light.
Kazakhstan seized on the opportunity. Sergiy Maliy pulled one back in the 68th minute, and Nuraly Alip, assisted by Maksim Samorodov, levelled matters in the 76th. The hosts could not find a winner, and the contest was further complicated in the 85th minute when Maliy himself was dismissed, leaving both sides to finish with ten men as the draw held.
Petur Knudsen scored the opening goal and finished with a match-best rating of 7.86 for the Faroe Islands.
Kazakhstan dominated territory with 67 percent possession yet still had to come from two goals down to draw.
Kazakhstan and Faroe Islands drew 2–2 (half-time 0–1).
Kazakhstan met Faroe Islands in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 4). Kick-off was Tuesday, 6 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Astana Arena. Referee: Kristo Tohver.
Team pages: Kazakhstan · Faroe Islands · UEFA Nations League
Key moments
- 22' Goal: Petur Knudsen (assist: Jóannes Bjartalíð) — 0–1 · Watch Petur Knudsen's goal video (22')
- 63' Goal: Géza Turi — 0–2 · Watch Géza Turi's goal video (63')
- 65' Red card: Martin Agnarsson
- 68' Goal: Sergiy Maliy — 1–2 · Watch Sergiy Maliy's goal video (68')
- 76' Goal: Nuraly Alip (assist: Maksim Samorodov) — 2–2 · Watch Nuraly Alip's goal video (76')
- 85' Red card: Sergiy Maliy
Starting line-ups
Kazakhstan (3-4-2-1)
Faroe Islands (3-4-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Kazakhstan 58%, the draw 26%, Faroe Islands 16%. It finished Kazakhstan 2–2 Faroe Islands.
Kazakhstan's rating edge carries it — Kazakhstan are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their control of the ball on top gives Kazakhstan a clear lead. The draw at 26% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Kazakhstan at 58%?
Kazakhstan sit 90 points higher on our strength rating — 1452 to 1362. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.6% of 13,303 such games. Kazakhstan hold 6 more possession points (46 to 40 in recent games) across a 90-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.5% of 8,547 such games where the class table expected 40.6%. The 300 most similar past games finished 53–27–20.
Why only 58%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 58% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Faroe Islands at 16%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.9%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,267. The goals environment adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Faroe Islands scored +0.36 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,841 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.4% vs 42.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Faroe Islands have gained 99 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.0% of 11,177 such games vs 40.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Petur Knudsen's goal against Kazakhstan (22').
- Watch Géza Turi's goal against Kazakhstan (63').
- Watch Sergiy Maliy's goal against Faroe Islands (68').
- Watch Nuraly Alip's goal against Faroe Islands (76').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Kazakhstan 2–2 Faroe Islands. Explore more on the Kazakhstan and Faroe Islands team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.