Albania vs 06.10.26 18:452 – 1Full Time
San Marino — UEFA Nations League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Asllani's late penalty seals win for leaders Albania over San Marino
Albania beat San Marino 2-1 at Arena Kombëtare in a UEFA Nations League League C Group 1 fixture, moving further clear at the top of the table. Kristjan Asllani's first-half strike and a stoppage-time penalty either side of a Lorenzo Lazzari equaliser settled a contest Albania dominated for long periods.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Asllani opened the scoring in the 11th minute to give the hosts a lead they held until half-time. San Marino levelled against the run of play in the 66th minute when Lorenzo Lazzari converted, assisted by Lorenzo Capicchioni, to make it 1-1. Albania, managed by R. Maran, pushed for a winner and found it deep into added time.
Asllani struck again from the penalty spot in the third minute of stoppage time to restore Albania's lead and complete his second goal of the night, sending the home side to victory. San Marino, under R. Cevoli, finished the match with four yellow cards as they struggled to contain the hosts' pressure in the closing stages.
Kristjan Asllani scored both of Albania's goals, including the decisive stoppage-time penalty, and finished with a rating of 8.2.
Albania controlled 70 percent of possession, underlining their dominance over San Marino throughout the match.
Albania beat San Marino 2–1 (half-time 1–0).
Albania met San Marino in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 4). Kick-off was Tuesday, 6 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Arena Kombëtare. Referee: Mehmet Turkmen.
Team pages: Albania · San Marino · UEFA Nations League
Key moments
- 11' Goal: Kristjan Asllani — 1–0
- 66' Goal: Lorenzo Lazzari (assist: Lorenzo Capicchioni) — 1–1 · Watch Lorenzo Lazzari's goal video (66')
- 90+3' Goal (penalty): Kristjan Asllani — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Albania (3-4-3)
- 23 Mario Dajsinani
- 3 Mario Mitaj
- 18 Ardian Ismajli
- 6 Berat Djimsiti (c)
- 22 Stavros Pilios
- 8 Kristjan Asllani
- 16 Juljan Shehu
- 4 Elseid Hysaj
- 21 Arbër Hoxha
- 7 Rey Manaj
- 10 Ernest Muçi
San Marino (4-3-1-2)
- 1 Edoardo Colombo
- 3 Simone Giocondi
- 6 Dante Rossi
- 5 Michele Cevoli
- 4 Filippo Fabbri
- 10 Samuele Zannoni
- 8 Lorenzo Capicchioni
- 16 Cristian Meloni
- 18 Enea Dell Balda
- 11 Nicolas Giacopetti
- 14 Fausto Marino Salicioni
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Albania 89%, the draw 8%, San Marino 3%. It finished Albania 2–1 San Marino.
Albania's rating gap decides it — Albania are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Albania's 89%. The draw at 8% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Albania at 89%?
Albania sit 860 points higher on our strength rating — 1628 to 767. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.0% of 5,575 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 92–7–1.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 89% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 8% and San Marino at 3%.
Why is the draw only 8%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 8.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,831.
What did we measure but not count?
Albania have averaged 24 percentage points more possession than San Marino in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Last five: Albania W-W-L, San Marino L-L-L — Albania are clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 43.3% of 1901 games when clearly hotter and 43.6% of 3634 when clearly colder. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Albania vs San Marino final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Albania 2–1 San Marino. Explore more on the Albania and San Marino team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.