England vs 06.10.26 18:453 – 0Full Time
Czech Republic — UEFA Nations League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Kane brace sinks Czech Republic as England cruise at Wembley
England beat Czech Republic 3-0 at Wembley Stadium in a UEFA Nations League League A fixture, moving comfortably clear with a dominant display in front of their own supporters. The result lifted Tuchel's side to second in Group 3, while the Czechs remained without a point after four matches.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The hosts broke through in the 27th minute when Vladimír Coufal turned the ball into his own net, and they doubled their advantage before the break through Harry Kane, who finished off a Morgan Rogers assist in the 40th minute to make it 2-0 at half-time. Kane struck again on 57 minutes, converting after being set up by Lewis Hall to put the game beyond doubt at 3-0.
England dominated possession throughout, holding the ball for 64 percent of the match and outshooting their visitors 17 to 5, with six corners to three underlining their control. Czech Republic offered little going forward, failing to register a single shot on target, while the match also produced a stack of fouls on the away side, who picked up two yellow cards to England's one.
Harry Kane scored twice, either side of half-time, to finish with a rating of 9.39 and lead England's rout.
England's dominance was reflected in their 64 percent share of possession to Czech Republic's 36.
England beat Czech Republic 3–0 (half-time 2–0).
England met Czech Republic in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 4). Kick-off was Tuesday, 6 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Wembley Stadium. Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk.
Team pages: England · Czech Republic · UEFA Nations League
Key moments
- 27' Goal (own goal): Vladimír Coufal — 1–0
- 40' Goal: Harry Kane (assist: Morgan Rogers) — 2–0
- 57' Goal: Harry Kane (assist: Lewis Hall) — 3–0
Starting line-ups
England (4-2-3-1)
Czech Republic (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave England 82%, the draw 11%, Czech Republic 7%. It finished England 3–0 Czech Republic.
England's rating gap decides it — England are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of England's 82%. The draw at 11% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why England at 82%?
England sit 428 points higher on our strength rating — 2077 to 1649. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.0% of 5,575 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 82–12–6.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 82% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 11% and Czech Republic at 7%.
Why is the draw only 11%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 12.3%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,831. The goals environment takes 1.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
England have averaged 10 percentage points more possession than Czech Republic in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Czech Republic have shed 97 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.0% of 9,550 such games vs 33.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the England vs Czech Republic final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from England 3–0 Czech Republic. Explore more on the England and Czech Republic team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.