St. Truiden vs Lommel United — Belgian Cup: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 4′Lommel United, goal:0–1
- 15′St. Truiden, goal:1–1
- 22′St. Truiden, goal disallowed:Goal Disallowed - video review
- 23′Lommel United, yellow card:
- 39′St. Truiden, goal:2–1
- Half-time2 – 1
- 46′Lommel United, substitution:off
- 48′Lommel United, yellow card:
- 60′Lommel United, substitution:off
- 60′Lommel United, substitution:off
- 62′St. Truiden, goal:3–1
- 71′St. Truiden, goal:4–1Goal
- Full-time4 – 1
Key Stats
Match report
St. Truiden come from behind to beat Lommel United 4-1 in Belgian Cup
St. Truiden won 4-1 against Lommel United in the Round of 32 of the Belgian Cup, recovering from an early deficit to score four unanswered goals. The five-goal contest was settled well before the end, with the home side in control after the interval.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Lommel United took the lead in the 4th minute through Jason van Duiven, but the advantage lasted only 11 minutes. Kaito Matsuzawa levelled in the 15th minute, and Shion Shinkawa put St. Truiden 2-1 ahead in the 39th, a scoreline that held at half-time.
Frederic Soelle Soelle made it 3-1 in the 62nd minute, and a fourth followed in the 71st to end any prospect of a Lommel United recovery. Lee Johnson's side, who had won their previous game 3-1 away at SK Beveren, found no way back after conceding twice before the break and twice more in the second half.
St. Truiden, managed by Frédéric De Meyer, had won 2-0 at home to Saburtalo in their previous game.
St. Truiden beat Lommel United 4–1 (half-time 2–1).
St. Truiden met Lommel United in the Belgian Cup (Round of 32). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.
Team pages: St. Truiden · Lommel United · Belgian Cup
Key moments
- 4' Goal: Jason van Duiven — 0–1
- 15' Goal: Kaito Matsuzawa — 1–1
- 39' Goal: Shion Shinkawa — 2–1
- 62' Goal: Frederic Soelle Soelle — 3–1
- 71' Goal: — 4–1
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave St. Truiden 51%, the draw 26%, Lommel United 23%. It finished St. Truiden 4–1 Lommel United.
Home advantage and ball control edge St. Truiden — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, St. Truiden's home advantage puts them in front, helped by their habit of controlling the ball, 55 to 46 in possession recently. The draw sits at 26%, just below the usual 28% for sides this level, nudged down by typical scoring and that control.
Why St. Truiden in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1542 to 1537. Sides this close won 45.8% of 13,745 home games (draw 27.7%, visitors 26.5%). St. Truiden hold 9 more possession points (55 to 46 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.2% of 5,155 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 51%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 26% and Lommel United at 23%.
Why the draw at 26%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,238.
What did we measure but not count?
St. Truiden on 2 days' rest, Lommel United on 8. Once class is accounted for, rest gaps stopped mattering — across 42,172 measured games no rest advantage repeated.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the St. Truiden vs Lommel United final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Belgian Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the St. Truiden and Lommel United team pages or the Belgian Cup page.