Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice — Ekstraklasa: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
Players to Watch
Slask WroclawPiast GliwiceSlask WroclawPiast GliwiceMatch preview
Slask Wroclaw seek a way out of trouble against high-flying Piast Gliwice
Slask Wroclaw host Piast Gliwice at Stadion Śląska Wrocław on Ekstraklasa matchday 14 with the two sides separated by nine places. Ante Šimundža's team are 16th on 9 points from 13 games, while Daniel Myśliwiec's visitors sit seventh on 21 points, 12 clear of their hosts.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Slask arrive on a difficult run. They have lost four of their last five, conceding 12 goals in that stretch, and went down 3-1 at Radomiak Radom last time out. Their one win in that spell was a 2-0 home victory over Wieczysta Kraków, a game in which they kept a clean sheet.
Piast have been steadier, with two wins, two draws and one defeat from their last five and nine goals scored. They have not kept a clean sheet in that run, though, and shared a 2-2 draw at Wisla Plock on their latest outing. Away from home they have lost only one of their last five.
Across their last 5 meetings, Slask Wroclaw won 1, Piast Gliwice won 3, with 1 draw. The most recent meeting was Slask Wroclaw 1–3 Piast Gliwice on 3 February 2025. Slask Wroclaw's latest win in this sample was Slask Wroclaw 1–0 Piast Gliwice on 23 September 2023.
Slask have lost four of their last five and conceded 12 goals, whereas Piast have lost just one of theirs and scored in every game.
Piast have kept two clean sheets in their last five away games, while Slask have drawn two and won one of their last five at home.
Slask Wroclaw meet Piast Gliwice in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 14). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 13:45 UTC at Tarczyński Arena Wrocław.
Team pages: Slask Wroclaw · Piast Gliwice · Ekstraklasa
Sirius · Why these numbers
Slask Wroclaw 31% · Draw 26% · Piast Gliwice 43%
Piast Gliwice's stronger rating gives them the edge — We give Piast Gliwice 43% mainly because they sit 107 points higher on our strength rating, 1525 to 1418, and their habit of controlling the ball, with 56% possession to 46 in recent games, adds to that. The draw starts near 28%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and drops to 26% because both sides' own recent games average 3.4 goals.
Why Piast Gliwice at 43%?
Piast Gliwice sit 107 points higher on our strength rating — 1525 to 1418. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,872 such games. Piast Gliwice hold 10 more possession points (56 to 46 in recent games) across a 107-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.7% of 9,367 such games where the class table expected 40.5%. The 300 most similar past games finished 35–27–38.
Why only 43%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 43% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Slask Wroclaw at 31%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,743. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Piast Gliwice scored +0.67 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,264 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 40.9% vs 42.2% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Piast Gliwice have gained 70 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.1% of 12,006 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Ekstraklasa fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Slask Wroclaw and Piast Gliwice team pages or the Ekstraklasa page.