Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow — Ekstraklasa: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
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Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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Wisla KrakowCracovia KrakowWisla KrakowCracovia KrakowMatch preview
Wisla Krakow host Cracovia Krakow in Ekstraklasa matchday 14
Wisla Krakow welcome Cracovia Krakow to Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana on Ekstraklasa matchday 14. Mariusz Jop's side sit eighth on 21 points from 13 games, while Bartosz Grzelak's Cracovia are 13th on 12 points, nine behind and five places lower.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Wisla arrive after a 3-1 defeat at Lech Poznan, their latest game, having beaten Raków Częstochowa 2-1 in the one before. Across their last five they have won two, drawn one and lost two, scoring five goals and conceding seven, with one clean sheet.
Cracovia have lost three of their last five, including a 2-1 home defeat to Motor Lublin last time out and a 3-1 loss at Piast Gliwice before that. In between came a 1-1 draw with Legia Warszawa, and they have scored in each of those five games while conceding ten.
Across their last 4 meetings, Wisla Krakow won 1, Cracovia Krakow won 0, with 3 draws. The most recent meeting was Cracovia Krakow 0–0 Wisla Krakow on 1 May 2022. Wisla Krakow's latest win in this sample was Wisla Krakow 1–0 Cracovia Krakow on 7 November 2021.
Wisla have won two of their last five and Cracovia one, with Cracovia conceding ten goals in that span to Wisla's seven.
Wisla have won all five of their last five home games, scoring ten and conceding three, while Cracovia have lost four of their last five away games.
Wisla Krakow meet Cracovia Krakow in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 14). Kick-off is Friday, 6 November 2026, 19:30 UTC at Synerise Arena. Referee: Szymon Marciniak.
Team pages: Wisla Krakow · Cracovia Krakow · Ekstraklasa
Sirius · Why these numbers
Wisla Krakow 46% · Draw 27% · Cracovia Krakow 27%
Home advantage gives Wisla a slight edge in a close derby — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, the usual home advantage is the main reason we give Wisla Krakow 46%, though Cracovia's recent finishing below their chances pulls the other way, as cold streaks like this have bounced back. The draw sits at 27%, close to the usual 27.5% between sides this level, nudged up by that finishing streak but down by Wisla's control of the ball.
Why Wisla Krakow in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1475 to 1437. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,593 home games (draw 27.5%, visitors 26.6%). Wisla Krakow hold 5 more possession points (53 to 48 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.5% of 5,647 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 46%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Cracovia Krakow sit -0.37 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.0% of 1,696 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why is the draw second, level with the Cracovia Krakow win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360.
What did we measure but not count?
Wisla Krakow are unbeaten in their 6 home Ekstraklasa games this season: 6 wins and 0 draws. Season's home results covered: 26 July 2026 to 24 October 2026 (UTC dates). Latest home result: 24 October 2026 — Wisla Krakow 2–1 Raków Częstochowa. Across 5,319 historical matches involving hosts unbeaten at home that season after at least five home games, those hosts won 59.4%, compared with 56.3% expected from team strength. In our recorded league results, Cracovia Krakow are winless in their last 13 away games: 6 draws and 7 defeats. The run began on 6 February 2026. Last recorded away league win: 2 February 2026 — Nieciecza 0–1 Cracovia Krakow. Latest recorded away league result: 24 October 2026 — Piast Gliwice 3–1 Cracovia Krakow. Across 14,301 historical matches involving visitors with at least six consecutive winless away league games, those visitors won 24.5%, compared with 24.1% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Ekstraklasa fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Wisla Krakow and Cracovia Krakow team pages or the Ekstraklasa page.