Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom — Ekstraklasa: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
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Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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Korona KielceRadomiak RadomKorona KielceRadomiak RadomMatch preview
Korona Kielce host Radomiak Radom at Suzuki Arena in Ekstraklasa matchday 14
Korona Kielce welcome Radomiak Radom to Suzuki Arena for matchday 14 of the Ekstraklasa, with the hosts in tenth place on 18 points from 13 games. Robert Kolendowicz's side arrive after a 1-0 defeat at Zaglebie Lubin on 2 November, their third loss in five outings.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Radomiak, managed by John Carver, sit 15th on 11 points from 13 games, seven points behind Korona and five places lower in the table. They lost four of their last five games before beating Slask Wroclaw 3-1 at home on 2 November, a result that ended that run.
Both sides have faced Lech Poznan and Pogon Szczecin in recent weeks. Korona lost 6-1 at Lech and 2-0 at Pogon, while Radomiak were beaten 5-1 at Lech and 4-3 at Pogon. Radomiak have conceded 14 goals in their last five games, Korona 11.
Across their last 5 meetings, Korona Kielce won 3, Radomiak Radom won 2, with 0 draws. The most recent meeting was Radomiak Radom 0–2 Korona Kielce on 13 February 2026. Radomiak Radom's latest win in this sample was Korona Kielce 1–3 Radomiak Radom on 30 March 2025.
Korona have won two and lost three of their last five, while Radomiak have won one and lost four, with the latter's only win coming against Slask Wroclaw on 2 November.
Radomiak have not won any of their last five away games, drawing one and losing four, while Korona have won two and drawn two of their last five at home.
Korona Kielce meet Radomiak Radom in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 14). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 11:15 UTC at EXBUD Arena.
Team pages: Korona Kielce · Radomiak Radom · Ekstraklasa
Sirius · Why these numbers
Korona Kielce 46% · Draw 27% · Radomiak Radom 27%
Korona Kielce lean ahead, but Radomiak's finishing pulls back — Home advantage and a 62-point edge on our strength rating put Korona Kielce slightly in front, though the biggest single factor favours Radomiak Radom, whose recent scoring has lagged their chances in a way that tends to bounce back. The draw sits at 27%, the usual rate for this strength gap, nudged up by that finishing streak and down slightly by both teams' 3.0-goal average in their own recent games.
Why Korona Kielce at 46%?
Korona Kielce sit 62 points higher on our strength rating — 1482 to 1420. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.1% of 11,130 such games.
Why only 46%?
Radomiak Radom sit -0.35 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.0% of 1,696 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why is the draw second, level with the Radomiak Radom win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360.
What did we measure but not count?
In our recorded league results, Radomiak Radom are winless in their last 8 away games: 2 draws and 6 defeats. The run began on 11 May 2026. Last recorded away league win: 26 April 2026 — Wisla Plock 0–1 Radomiak Radom. Latest recorded away league result: 24 October 2026 — Pogon Szczecin 4–3 Radomiak Radom. Across 14,301 historical matches involving visitors with at least six consecutive winless away league games, those visitors won 24.5%, compared with 24.1% expected from team strength. Korona Kielce are 2 games into a new manager (R. Kolendowicz), appointed 13 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Ekstraklasa fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Korona Kielce and Radomiak Radom team pages or the Ekstraklasa page.