Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock — Ekstraklasa: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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Motor LublinWisla PlockMotor LublinWisla PlockMatch preview
Motor Lublin host Wisla Plock in Ekstraklasa matchday 14 clash
Motor Lublin welcome Wisla Plock to Motor Lublin Arena on matchday 14 of the Ekstraklasa, with the sides separated by a single place and a single point. Motor are 11th on 16 points from 13 games, while Wisla are 12th on 15 points from 12, so the result will settle which of them sits higher in the table.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Mariusz Misiura's side arrive unbeaten in their last five, with three wins and two draws. They scored 10 goals in that spell and conceded seven, and their latest outing was a 2-1 victory away at Cracovia Krakow. Earlier in the run they beat Slask Wroclaw 3-2 and won 3-2 at Radomiak Radom.
Adam Majewski's Wisla have been less consistent, with two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five. They have scored five and conceded six in that time. Their most recent game was a 2-2 draw at home to Piast Gliwice, and they lost 1-0 at Jagiellonia the game before that.
Across their last 2 meetings, Motor Lublin won 1, Wisla Plock won 0, with 1 draw. The most recent meeting was Wisla Plock 0–4 Motor Lublin on 10 May 2026.
Motor Lublin are unbeaten in their last five, with three wins and two draws, whereas Wisla Plock have won two, drawn one and lost two of theirs.
Both sides have met Radomiak Radom recently: Motor won 3-2 there on 12 October, while Wisla beat them 1-0 at home on 19 October.
Motor Lublin meet Wisla Plock in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 14). Kick-off is Friday, 6 November 2026, 17:00 UTC at Motor Lublin Arena. Referee: M. Kochanek.
Team pages: Motor Lublin · Wisla Plock · Ekstraklasa
Sirius · Why these numbers
Motor Lublin 46% · Draw 27% · Wisla Plock 27%
Motor Lublin edge it, though Wisla Plock's finishing pulls back — We give Motor Lublin 46% because our strength rating puts them a shade stronger, 1471 to 1430, on top of the usual home advantage, while Wisla Plock's cold finishing, a streak that has tended to bounce back, pulls the other way. The draw sits at 27%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged up slightly by that finishing streak.
Why Motor Lublin at 46%?
Motor Lublin sit 41 points higher on our strength rating — 1471 to 1430. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.1% of 11,130 such games.
Why only 46%?
Wisla Plock sit -0.41 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.0% of 1,696 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why is the draw second, level with the Wisla Plock win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360.
What did we measure but not count?
Motor Lublin sit -0.40 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Ekstraklasa fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Motor Lublin and Wisla Plock team pages or the Ekstraklasa page.