Atletico-MG vs 11.10.26 19:002 – 1Full Time
Santos — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Atletico-MG snatch late win over Santos with two stoppage-time goals
Atletico-MG beat Santos 2-1 at Arena MRV in Brasileirão Série A on Matchday 30, scoring twice in the closing stages after trailing for just two minutes. The match had been goalless at half-time and stayed that way until the 88th minute, when Gabriel Barbosa put the visitors ahead from a Philippe Coutinho assist.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The hosts needed barely any time to respond. Vitor Hugo equalised in the 90+1 minute, converting a delivery from Maycon, and the home side kept pressing. In the 90+7 minute Thiago Borbas struck the winner, set up by Alan Minda, completing a swing that took the match from 0-1 to 2-1 in less than ten minutes.
Atletico-MG had dominated the contest territorially, with 21 shots to 10 and 12 corners to 3, while possession was split evenly at 50 per cent each. The result ended Santos's run of 7 games unbeaten and lifted Atletico-MG from seventh to sixth, on 47 points, while Santos stayed eighth on 42. Atletico-MG host Coritiba on Saturday 17 October, and Santos travel to Fluminense on Sunday 18 October, both in the Brasileirão Série A.
Thiago Borbas scored the 90+7 winner for Atletico-MG, earning the highest rating of the match at 7.83. Vitor Hugo, who levelled in the 90+1 minute, was rated 7.63.
Atletico-MG took 12 corners to Santos's 3, underlining how much of the match was played in the visitors' half.
Atletico-MG beat Santos 2–1 (half-time 0–0).
Atletico-MG met Santos in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 30). Kick-off was Sunday, 11 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Arena MRV. Referee: Alex Gomes Stefano.
Team pages: Atletico-MG · Santos · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 88' Goal: Gabriel Barbosa (assist: Philippe Coutinho) — 0–1
- 90+1' Goal: Vitor Hugo (assist: Maycon) — 1–1
- 90+7' Goal: Thiago Borbas (assist: Alan Minda) — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Atletico-MG (4-2-3-1)
Santos (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Atletico-MG 48%, the draw 31%, Santos 21%. It finished Atletico-MG 2–1 Santos.
Level sides, home ground swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage gives Atletico-MG the lean. The draw at 31% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Atletico-MG in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1572 to 1566. Sides this close won 45.8% of 13,710 home games (draw 27.7%, visitors 26.6%). Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.0%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,470 games vs 44.6% across all 101,096 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 48%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 31% and Santos at 21%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Santos win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,299. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Santos have gained 83 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 39.9% of 11,181 such games vs 40.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Atletico-MG are unbeaten in their last 8 home Brasileirão Série A games: 5 wins and 3 draws. The run began on 10 May 2026. Last recorded home league defeat: 26 April 2026 — Atletico-MG 0–4 Flamengo. Latest home league result: 3 October 2026 — Atletico-MG 1–0 RB Bragantino. Across 13,690 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 56.0%, compared with 54.8% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Atletico-MG vs Santos final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Atletico-MG 2–1 Santos. Explore more on the Atletico-MG and Santos team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.