Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsPrime Video Sport BrasilYouTubeMatch Events
- 9′Chapecoense-sc, goal:1–0assist
- 30′Fluminense, goal:1–1assist
- 37′Chapecoense-sc, yellow card:
- Half-time1 – 1
- 46′Chapecoense-sc, substitution:Tulio Eduardooff
- 56′Chapecoense-sc, goal:2–1assistTulio Eduardo
- 57′Chapecoense-sc, yellow card:
- 65′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 65′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 70′Chapecoense-sc, substitution:off
- 70′Chapecoense-sc, substitution:off
- 73′Chapecoense-sc, substitution:off
- 79′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 83′Chapecoense-sc, substitution:off
- 85′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 85′Fluminense, substitution:off
- 90+2′Fluminense, yellow card:
- Full-time2 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
Match report
Chapecoense-sc end winless run with 2-1 victory over Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc beat Fluminense 2-1 at Arena Condá in Brasileirão Série A on Matchday 32, ending a run of five games without a win. The result came against a side that sat fifth in the table, while Chapecoense began the day 20th.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Yannick Bolasie put the hosts ahead in the ninth minute, finishing from Giovanni Augusto's pass. Fluminense levelled in the 30th minute when Guga scored from Hulk's assist, and the sides went into the interval at 1-1.
Chapecoense regained the lead in the 56th minute. Giovanni Augusto scored from Tulio Eduardo's assist and the hosts held on from there, despite Fluminense dominating the ball with 74 per cent possession and 16 shots to 6. The defeat was Fluminense's third in a row.
Chapecoense finished the night on 21 points, 30 behind Fluminense in the table. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Chapecoense-sc a 25% chance of winning. Both sides play again on Wednesday in Brasileirão Série A, Chapecoense away to RB Bragantino and Fluminense at home to Internacional.
Giovanni Augusto was involved in both Chapecoense goals, providing the assist for Bolasie's opener and scoring the winner himself, and he took the top rating of 8.64. Guga, who scored Fluminense's equaliser, was next on 8.0.
Fluminense had 74 per cent of the possession but still lost to a side that had 26 per cent.
Chapecoense-sc beat Fluminense 2–1 (half-time 1–1).
Chapecoense-sc met Fluminense in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 32). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 22:30 UTC at Arena Condá. Referee: Anderson Daronco. Attendance: 3,664.
Team pages: Chapecoense-sc · Fluminense · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 9' Goal: Yannick Bolasie (assist: Giovanni Augusto) — 1–0
- 30' Goal: Guga (assist: Hulk) — 1–1
- 56' Goal: Giovanni Augusto (assist: Tulio Eduardo) — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Chapecoense-sc (4-2-3-1)
- 98 Anderson
- 91 Bruno Pacheco
- 4 João Paulo
- 3 Eduardo Doma
- 20 Bruno Tubarão
- 88 Yago Felipe
- 27 Camilo
- 31 Garcez
- 10 Giovanni Augusto
- 7 Marcinho
- 11 Yannick Bolasie
Fluminense (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Fábio
- 13 Guilherme Arana
- 21 Igor Rabello
- 4 Ignacio
- 23 Guga
- 35 Hércules
- 16 Nonato
- 90 Kevin Serna
- 10 Ganso
- 34 Wesley Natã
- 7 Hulk
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Chapecoense-sc 25%, the draw 21%, Fluminense 54%. It finished Chapecoense-sc 2–1 Fluminense.
Fluminense's strength edge, despite strong home sides — Fluminense sit 284 points higher on our strength rating, 1589 to 1305, which is the main reason we give them 54%, though home sides in Brasileirão Série A generally do well and that pulls slightly towards Chapecoense-sc. The draw sits at 21%, close to its usual starting point, as both teams' high-scoring recent games lower it and the competition's usual draw rate raises it.
Why Fluminense at 54%?
Fluminense sit 284 points higher on our strength rating — 1589 to 1305. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.7% of 6,277 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 23–22–55.
Why only 54%?
Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.0%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,489 games vs 44.6% across all 107,859 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 21.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,375. The goals environment takes 1.9 points off the draw. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Fluminense have averaged 12 percentage points more possession than Chapecoense-sc in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Out: John Kennedy and Jefferson Savarino, rotation players. Doubtful: Martinelli, an important player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Chapecoense-sc 2–1 Fluminense. Explore more on the Chapecoense-sc and Fluminense team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.