Highlightsge tvYouTubeMatch Events
- 7′Mirassol, own goal:1–0Own goal
- 17′Sao Paulo, yellow card:
- 26′Sao Paulo, yellow card:
- 39′Sao Paulo, goal:1–1assist
- Half-time1 – 1
- 61′Mirassol, yellow card:
- 64′Sao Paulo, substitution:off
- 64′Sao Paulo, substitution:off
- 67′Mirassol, substitution:off
- 67′Mirassol, substitution:off
- 67′Mirassol, substitution:off
- 70′Mirassol, yellow card:
- 74′Mirassol, substitution:off
- 77′Sao Paulo, substitution:off
- 77′Sao Paulo, substitution:off
- 78′Mirassol, substitution:off
- 83′Mirassol, yellow card:
- 87′Sao Paulo, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
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Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Match report
Mirassol and Sao Paulo share the points after an own goal and an equaliser
Mirassol and Sao Paulo drew 1-1 at José Maria de Campos Maia in Brasileirão Série A on Matchday 32, a result that left both sides in the same league positions they began the day in. The hosts led from an unusual source, while the visitors needed only until just before the interval to restore parity.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Mirassol went ahead in the 7th minute when Rafael turned the ball into his own net, putting the home side 1-0 up without a shot of their own having beaten the goalkeeper. Sao Paulo took more than half an hour to respond but did so in the 39th minute, when Pedro Lima scored from Damián Bobadilla's assist to make it 1-1.
Neither side found a winner after the break. Mirassol had more attempts, 18 to 14, but managed only four on target against Sao Paulo's three, while the visitors held 55 per cent of the possession. Mirassol finished the round 14th on 37 points, with Sao Paulo ninth on 43.
Mirassol travel to face Corinthians on Friday 30 October in the Brasileirão Série A, while Sao Paulo are away to Bahia in the same competition.
Pedro Lima scored Sao Paulo's equaliser and earned the match's top rating of 7.71. Iago followed on 7.64 for the visitors, with Mirassol's best-rated player, Willian Machado, on 7.51.
Mirassol outshot Sao Paulo 18 to 14 yet could not turn that volume into a second goal.
Mirassol and Sao Paulo drew 1–1 (half-time 1–1).
Mirassol met Sao Paulo in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 32). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 19:30 UTC at José Maria de Campos Maia. Referee: Lucas Casagrande. Attendance: 8,393.
Team pages: Mirassol · Sao Paulo · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 7' Goal (own goal): Rafael — 1–0
- 39' Goal: Pedro Lima (assist: Damián Bobadilla) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Mirassol (4-2-3-1)
- 22 Walter
- 6 Reinaldo
- 3 Willian Machado
- 34 João Victor
- 32 Igor Formiga
- 27 Denilson
- 25 Neto Moura
- 77 Alesson
- 33 Eduardo
- 95 Edson
- 30 Bruno Santos
Sao Paulo (3-4-2-1)
- 23 Rafael
- 54 Osorio Luis
- 5 Robert Arboleda
- 28 Newton
- 12 Iago
- 8 Marcos Antônio
- 48 D. Ferreira
- 32 Pedro Lima
- 16 Damián Bobadilla
- 7 Lucas Moura
- 10 Luciano
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Mirassol 47%, the draw 32%, Sao Paulo 21%. It finished Mirassol 1–1 Sao Paulo.
Home edge in a strong home league — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, Mirassol's home advantage puts them in front, and home sides in the Brasileirão Série A tend to do better than the global norm. The draw rises from a usual 27% to 32%, lifted by both teams' low-scoring recent games and the league's usual draw rate.
Why Mirassol in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1520 to 1507. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,522 home games (draw 27.4%, visitors 26.6%). Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.0%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,489 games vs 44.6% across all 107,859 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 47%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 32% and Sao Paulo at 21%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Sao Paulo win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.4%. These teams' recent games average 2.3 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 19,769. The goals environment adds 3.2 points to the draw. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
In our recorded league results, Sao Paulo are winless in their last 12 away games: 2 draws and 10 defeats. The run began on 18 March 2026. Last recorded away league win: 15 March 2026 — RB Bragantino 1–2 Sao Paulo. Latest recorded away league result: 8 October 2026 — Cruzeiro 2–0 Sao Paulo. Across 14,191 historical matches involving visitors with at least six consecutive winless away league games, those visitors won 24.4%, compared with 24.1% expected from team strength. Mirassol won 2 of the last 3 meetings with Sao Paulo. The record is 2 wins for Mirassol, 0 draws and 1 win for Sao Paulo. These were 3 Brasileirão Série A games played between 24 May 2025 and 26 April 2026. Latest meeting: 26 April 2026 — Sao Paulo 1–0 Mirassol. Mirassol lead the 3-match record, although Sao Paulo won the latest encounter. In 5,546 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 44.0%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Mirassol vs Sao Paulo final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Mirassol 1–1 Sao Paulo. Explore more on the Mirassol and Sao Paulo team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.

