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- 7′Gremio, substitution:off
- 40′Coritiba, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 59′Gremio, substitution:off
- 59′Gremio, substitution:off
- 60′Coritiba, substitution:off
- 69′Coritiba, substitution:off
- 69′Coritiba, substitution:off
- 76′Coritiba, substitution:off
- 77′Coritiba, substitution:off
- 82′Gremio, substitution:off
- 82′Gremio, substitution:off
- 90+2′Gremio, goal:0–1assist
- Full-time0 – 1
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Coritiba
Gremio
Match report
Braithwaite's stoppage-time winner gives Gremio victory at Coritiba
Gremio won 1-0 at Coritiba in Brasileirão Série A on Matchday 32, Martin Braithwaite scoring in the 90+2 minute at the Estádio Couto Pereira. The visitors had been level at 0-0 at half-time and stayed that way for most of the second period before the decisive moment arrived.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The goal came from Francis Amuzu's assist, and it ended a run of 7 games without a win for Gremio. Coritiba, in contrast, are now without a win in 7 games, having been denied at the very end of a contest in which only 1 of their players, by the cards count, had picked up a yellow.
Gremio had the greater share of the ball, with 58% possession to Coritiba's 42%, and had 17 shots to 12, six of them on target compared with four. They also won ten corners to five. The result lifted them from 18th to 17th on 34 points, five behind 12th-placed Coritiba, who stayed on 39.
Coritiba turn to Brasileirão Série A again on Thursday, when they host Vitoria, while Gremio's next game is at home to Atletico Paranaense.
Josué earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch, 7.63, in a losing cause for Coritiba. Marlon was Gremio's best-rated performer at 7.6.
Gremio won ten corners to Coritiba's five, underlining the pressure they applied before the late breakthrough.
Gremio won 1–0 away against Coritiba (half-time 0–0).
Coritiba met Gremio in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 32). Kick-off was Monday, 26 October 2026, 22:30 UTC at Estádio Couto Pereira. Referee: Ramon Abatti. Attendance: 30,759.
Team pages: Coritiba · Gremio · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 90+2' Goal: Martin Braithwaite (assist: Francis Amuzu) — 0–1
Starting line-ups
Coritiba (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Pedro Morisco
- 26 Bruno Melo
- 55 Jacy
- 23 Tiago Cóser
- 2 Tinga
- 19 Sebastián Gómez
- 5 Nicolás Fonseca
- 32 Pedro Rocha
- 10 Josué
- 7 Joaquín Lavega
- 18 Paulo Roberto
Gremio (3-4-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Coritiba 38%, the draw 31%, Gremio 31%. It finished Coritiba 0–1 Gremio.
Home advantage edges Coritiba ahead of stronger Gremio — Our strength rating rates Gremio higher, 1479 to 1432, but Coritiba's home advantage, boosted because home sides do especially well in Brasileirão Série A, gives them a slight lean at 38%. The draw sits at 31%, up from a usual 29% for a gap this size, mainly because draws are common in this competition and one side tends to control the ball.
Why Coritiba at 38%?
Home ground, against the rating. Gremio sit 47 points higher on our strength rating — 1479 to 1432. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.5% of 11,095 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (24.8% vs 30.0%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,496 games vs 44.6% across all 108,006 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 38%?
Because Gremio are the stronger side on our strength rating. Gremio hold 6 more possession points (48 to 42 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 39.8% across 5,931 games, from 44.0% when styles were level.
Why is the draw second, level with the Gremio win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,202. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points. The control factor adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
In our recorded league results, Gremio are winless in their last 15 away games: 5 draws and 10 defeats. The run began on 28 January 2026. Last recorded away league win: 7 December 2025 — Sport Recife 0–4 Gremio. Latest recorded away league result: 7 October 2026 — Remo 1–1 Gremio. Across 14,210 historical matches involving visitors with at least six consecutive winless away league games, those visitors won 24.4%, compared with 24.1% expected from team strength. Gremio won 5 of the last 6 meetings with Coritiba. The record is 5 wins for Gremio, 1 draw and 0 wins for Coritiba. These were 6 Brasileirão Série A games played at both grounds between 15 October 2017 and 26 April 2026. Gremio are unbeaten in the last 7 meetings between the sides (6 wins, 1 draw), a run going back to June 2017. Latest meeting: 26 April 2026 — Gremio 1–0 Coritiba. In 6,083 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.2%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Coritiba vs Gremio final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Coritiba 0–1 Gremio. Explore more on the Coritiba and Gremio team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.