Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsUOL EsporteYouTubeMatch Events
- 20′Palmeiras, goal disallowed:Goal Disallowed
- 31′RB Bragantino, yellow card:
- 32′Palmeiras, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- 44′RB Bragantino, yellow card:
- 45+8′Palmeiras, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 45+11′Palmeiras, penalty goal:1–0Penaltyassist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′RB Bragantino, substitution:off
- 46′RB Bragantino, substitution:off
- 62′Palmeiras, yellow card:
- 64′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 70′RB Bragantino, substitution:off
- 76′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 76′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 77′Palmeiras, goal:2–0assist
- 78′RB Bragantino, substitution:off
- 78′RB Bragantino, substitution:off
- 79′Palmeiras, yellow card:
- 81′RB Bragantino, yellow card:
- 81′RB Bragantino, yellow card:
- 87′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 88′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 0
Lineups
Tap a player for match stats
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Videos
Player Ratings
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
Match report
Palmeiras beat RB Bragantino 2-0 to go top of Brasileirão Série A
Palmeiras beat RB Bragantino 2-0 at Nubank Parque on Matchday 32 of the Brasileirão Série A, a result that moved them from second to first. They finished the night on 69 points from 32 games, with Bragantino tenth on 41.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The opening goal arrived deep in first-half stoppage time. Maurício converted a penalty in the 45+11 minute, with José López credited with the assist, to send Palmeiras into the interval 1-0 ahead. Bragantino, who had Mancini Vagner in charge, found no way back before the break.
López was involved again in the 77th minute, when Agustín Giay made it 2-0 to settle the contest. Palmeiras had been the more aggressive side throughout, finishing with 24 shots to 11 and holding 56 per cent of possession, while neither side was shown a red card.
The win was Palmeiras' fourth in a row, and they are now unbeaten in 11 games. Both sides are back in action on Wednesday 28 October in the Brasileirão Série A: Palmeiras travel to Santos, while Bragantino host Chapecoense-sc.
Maurício scored the penalty that broke the deadlock and was the highest-rated performer on the pitch with 8.09. Jhon Arias (7.96) and Giay (7.62) completed the top three, all for Palmeiras.
Palmeiras had seven shots on target to Bragantino's two.
Palmeiras beat RB Bragantino 2–0 (half-time 1–0).
Palmeiras met RB Bragantino in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 32). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 21:30 UTC at Arena Barueri. Referee: Braulio da Silva Machado. Attendance: 26,021.
Team pages: Palmeiras · RB Bragantino · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 45+11' Goal (penalty): Maurício (assist: José López) — 1–0
- 77' Goal: Agustín Giay (assist: José López) — 2–0
Starting line-ups
Palmeiras (3-4-2-1)
RB Bragantino (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Palmeiras 75%, the draw 21%, RB Bragantino 4%. It finished Palmeiras 2–0 RB Bragantino.
Palmeiras' clear strength edge drives a one-sided forecast — We give Palmeiras 75% mainly because our strength rating puts them 210 points higher, 1724 to 1514, and home sides in the Brasileirão Série A do better than the global norm. The draw starts at 18% for a gap this size, and the competition's usual draw rate plus both sides' typical scoring lift it to 21%.
Why Palmeiras at 75%?
Palmeiras sit 210 points higher on our strength rating — 1724 to 1514. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.9% of 7,053 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.0%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,489 games vs 44.6% across all 107,859 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 74–18–8.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 75% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 21% and RB Bragantino at 4%.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 18.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,297. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Andreas Pereira, a star player, and Joaquín Piquerez and Vitor Roque, rotation players. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Palmeiras won 4 of the last 6 meetings with RB Bragantino. The record is 4 wins for Palmeiras, 1 draw and 1 win for RB Bragantino. These were 6 Brasileirão Série A games played between 1 October 2023 and 26 April 2026. Palmeiras are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings between the sides (4 wins, 1 draw), a run going back to June 2024. Latest meeting: 26 April 2026 — RB Bragantino 0–1 Palmeiras. In 5,546 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 44.0%. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Palmeiras 2–0 RB Bragantino. Explore more on the Palmeiras and RB Bragantino team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.